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Policy Impact on Regional Biogas Using a Modular Modeling Tool

Author

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  • Stelios Rozakis

    (Bioeconomy and Biosystems Economics Lab, School of Chemical and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, 73100 Chania, Greece)

  • Andrea Bartoli

    (Department of Bioeconomy & System Analysis, Institute of Soil Science & Plant Cultivation—State Research Institute, 24-100 Pulawy, Poland)

  • Jacek Dach

    (Department of Biosystems Engineering, Poznan University of Life Sciences, WojskaPolskiego 50, 60-637 Poznań, Poland)

  • Anna Jędrejek

    (Department of Bioeconomy & System Analysis, Institute of Soil Science & Plant Cultivation—State Research Institute, 24-100 Pulawy, Poland)

  • Alina Kowalczyk-Juśko

    (Department of Environmental Engineering and Geodesy, University of Life Sciences in Lublin, Leszczyńskiego 7, 20-069 Lublin, Poland)

  • Łukasz Mamica

    (Department of Public Economics, Cracow University of Economics, 31-510 Kraków, Poland)

  • Patrycja Pochwatka

    (Department of Environmental Engineering and Geodesy, University of Life Sciences in Lublin, Leszczyńskiego 7, 20-069 Lublin, Poland)

  • Rafał Pudelko

    (Department of Bioeconomy & System Analysis, Institute of Soil Science & Plant Cultivation—State Research Institute, 24-100 Pulawy, Poland)

  • Kesheng Shu

    (Centre for Energy and Environmental Management and Decision-Making (CE2MD), China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China)

Abstract

Biogas development is expected to contribute to the National Recovery and Resilience plan to overcome the COVID-19 shock. Estimation of the agricultural biogas potential in economic terms can contribute to refining policies inciting effective sector development. In this paper, we attempt to do so by modeling a biogas chain from dedicated crops and livestock waste. This was achieved by coupling farming models to the biogas industry in a partial equilibrium framework. This allows for a comprehensive investigation of alternative measures in technology, size, spatial distribution and land use change. The integrated model was implemented in Lubelskie for the previous policy (green certificates) and the current policy (auction market). In both cases, the bottom-up profit driven optimization resulted in approximately 40 MWel, which shows a robust economic potential more than four times the biogas sector’s actual capacity in the region, also providing the detailed structure of the sector. When focusing on the industry structure, both scenarios give similar results regarding 1–2 MWel plant size close to the observed situation. The model also suggests a large number of new facilities <250 kWel, twice as important under scenario 2, indicating that other conditions beyond economy profitability should be fulfilled for further sector development.

Suggested Citation

  • Stelios Rozakis & Andrea Bartoli & Jacek Dach & Anna Jędrejek & Alina Kowalczyk-Juśko & Łukasz Mamica & Patrycja Pochwatka & Rafał Pudelko & Kesheng Shu, 2021. "Policy Impact on Regional Biogas Using a Modular Modeling Tool," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-21, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:13:p:3738-:d:579871
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ludwik Wicki & Kaspars Naglis-Liepa & Tadeusz Filipiak & Andrzej Parzonko & Aleksandra Wicka, 2022. "Is the Production of Agricultural Biogas Environmentally Friendly? Does the Structure of Consumption of First- and Second-Generation Raw Materials in Latvia and Poland Matter?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-16, August.
    2. Łukasz Mamica & Monika Mazur-Bubak & Renata Wróbel-Rotter, 2022. "Can Biogas Plants Become a Significant Part of the New Polish Energy Deal? Business Opportunities for Poland’s Biogas Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-14, January.
    3. Stelios Rozakis & Luka Juvančič & Barna Kovacs, 2022. "Bioeconomy for Resilient Post-COVID Economies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-5, April.

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