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Do foreign short-sellers predict stock returns? Evidence from daily short-selling in Korean stock market

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  • Wang, Shu-Feng
  • Lee, Kuan-Hui

Abstract

We investigate the daily short-selling by foreign investors and their impact on stock price, liquidity, and volatility in the Korean stock market. From January 1, 2006, to May 31, 2010, we find that the majority of short-selling is performed by foreign, rather than by domestic, investors and that foreign short-sellers are contrarians, whose large short-selling predicts short-run future return. We also find that foreign investors' short-selling is performed when buying-pressure is high, but does not improve stock liquidity. Furthermore, we find that foreign investors' short-selling does not increase volatility, providing evidence against the foreign investors' destabilizing role in emerging markets.

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  • Wang, Shu-Feng & Lee, Kuan-Hui, 2015. "Do foreign short-sellers predict stock returns? Evidence from daily short-selling in Korean stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 56-75.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:32:y:2015:i:c:p:56-75
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2015.01.004
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    3. Li, Shan & Mihaylov, George & Peranginangin, Yessy & Zurbruegg, Ralf, 2021. "Short selling patterns in cross-listed stocks," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    4. Rui Li & Nan Li & Jiahui Li & Chongfeng Wu, 2018. "Short selling, margin buying and stock return in China market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 58(2), pages 477-501, June.
    5. Godfrey, Keith R.L., 2016. "Detecting the great short squeeze on Volkswagen," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 40(PB), pages 323-334.
    6. Cashman, George D. & Harrison, David M. & Sheng, Hainan, 2022. "Short sales, short risk, and return predictability in Asia-Pacific real estate markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    7. Wang, Shu-Feng & Lee, Kuan-Hui & Woo, Min-Cheol, 2017. "Do individual short-sellers make money? Evidence from Korea," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 159-172.
    8. Kim, Myeong Hyeon & Kim, Young Min & Yang, Kisung, 2022. "Understanding BOXPI — Industry portfolio perspectives," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    9. Linnenluecke, Martina K. & Chen, Xiaoyan & Ling, Xin & Smith, Tom & Zhu, Yushu, 2016. "Emerging trends in Asia-Pacific finance research: A review of recent influential publications and a research agenda," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 66-76.
    10. Choi, Insu & Lee, Myounggu & Kim, Hyejin & Kim, Woo Chang, 2023. "Elucidating Directed Statistical Dependencies: Investigating Global Financial Market Indices' Influence on Korean Short Selling Activities," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Jieun Lee & Doojin Ryu & Ali M. Kutan, 2016. "Monetary Policy Announcements, Communication, and Stock Market Liquidity," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(3), pages 227-250, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Short-selling; Foreign investor; Emerging market; Korean stock market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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