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Short Sale Constraints and Stock Returns

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Author Info
Charles M. Jones
Owen A. Lamont
Abstract

Stocks can be overpriced when short sale constraints bind. We study the costs of short selling equities, 1926-1933, using the publicly observable market for borrowing stock. Some stocks are sometimes expensive to short, and it appears that stocks enter the borrowing market when shorting demand is high. We find that stocks that are expensive to short or which enter the borrowing market have high valuations and low subsequent returns, consistent with the overpricing hypothesis. Size-adjusted returns are one to two percent lower per month for new entrants, and despite high costs it is profitable to short them.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 8494.

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Date of creation: Oct 2001
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:8494

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G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies

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  1. Malcolm Baker & Jeremy C. Stein, 2002. "Market Liquidity as a Sentiment Indicator," NBER Working Papers 8816, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. William M. Gentry & Charles M. Jones & Christopher J. Mayer, 2004. "Do Stock Prices Really Reflect Fundamental Values? The Case of REITs," NBER Working Papers 10850, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Michael R. Powers & David M. Schizer & Martin Shubik, 2003. "Market Bubbles and Wasteful Avoidance: Tax and Regulatory Constraints on Short Sales," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1413, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Peter Temin & Joachim Voth, 2004. "Riding the South Sea Bubble," Economics Working Papers 861, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Robert J. Shiller, 2002. "From Efficient Market Theory to Behavioral Finance," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1385, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Owen A. Lamont & Jeremy C. Stein, 2004. "Aggregate Short Interest and Market Valuations," NBER Working Papers 10218, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Michael J. Fleming & Kenneth D. Garbade, 2004. "Repurchase agreements with negative interest rates," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Apr. [Downloadable!]
  8. Eli Ofek & Matthew Richardson & Robert F. Whitelaw, 2003. "Limited Arbitrage and Short Sales Restrictions: Evidence from the Options Markets," NBER Working Papers 9423, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Cheolbeom Park, 2002. "Speculative Behavior and Heterogeneous Expectations: Theory and Evidence," Departmental Working Papers wp0205, National University of Singapore, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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