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The world market risk premium and U.S. macroeconomic announcements

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  • Du, Ding
  • Hu, Ou

Abstract

Conditional tests of the International CAPM in previous studies (e.g., Harvey, 1991) help identify predictability but not causality. In this paper, we take an event-study approach to examine if the world market risk premium is particularly higher on prescheduled US macroeconomic announcement days. Empirically, we apply the Savor and Wilson (2014) methodology to daily US stocks as well as foreign stocks cross-listed in the US. Our findings suggest that there is a causal relationship from the state of the global economy to the world market risk premium.

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  • Du, Ding & Hu, Ou, 2015. "The world market risk premium and U.S. macroeconomic announcements," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 75-97.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:58:y:2015:i:c:p:75-97
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.08.006
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    Cited by:

    1. Chiang, Thomas C., 2021. "Spillovers of U.S. market volatility and monetary policy uncertainty to global stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    2. Chen, Xiaoyu & Chiang, Thomas C., 2020. "Empirical investigation of changes in policy uncertainty on stock returns—Evidence from China’s market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    3. Kim, Hyun-Seok & Min, Hong-Ghi & McDonald, Judith A., 2016. "Returns, correlations, and volatilities in equity markets: Evidence from six OECD countries during the US financial crisis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 9-22.
    4. Pyo, Sujin & Lee, Jaewook, 2020. "Do FOMC and macroeconomic announcements affect Bitcoin prices?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    5. Ding Du & Ou Hu, 2018. "The sentiment premium and macroeconomic announcements," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(1), pages 207-237, January.
    6. Ding Du & Ou Hu & Xiaobing Zhao, 2016. "Currency Risk Premium And U.S. Macroeconomic Announcement," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 39(4), pages 359-388, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macroeconomic announcements; International capital asset-pricing model; Cross-listed firms;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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