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Russian equity market linkages before and after the 1998 crisis: Evidence from stochastic and regime-switching cointegration tests

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  • Lucey, Brian M.
  • Voronkova, Svitlana

Abstract

This paper examines the relationships between Russian and other equity markets over the period of 1995-2004. To account for potential instability in the market relationships we apply a number of cointegration approaches: Gregory-Hansen [1996. Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with regime shifts. Journal of Econometrics 70, 99-126] test, which allows for a structural break in the relationships, a stochastic cointegration framework by McCabe [2003. Testing for Stochastic Cointegration and Evidence for Present Value Models. Working Paper], the non-parametric test by Breitung [2002. Nonparametric tests for unit roots and cointegration. Journal of Econometrics 108(2), 343-363] and a regime-switching cointegration model in the spirit of Ho [1999. Financial liberalization and international capital mobility of Taiwan: a regime-switching approach. Asian Economic Journal 13(4), 407-417]. The tests point to a significant agreement that the Russian equity market remained isolated from the influence by international markets in the long run and that while a structural break might have occurred in August 1998 this did not alter the nature of long-run relationships.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of International Money and Finance.

Volume (Year): 27 (2008)
Issue (Month): 8 (December)
Pages: 1303-1324

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Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:27:y:2008:i:8:p:1303-1324

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30443

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Keywords: Stock market integration CEE stock markets Russian Stock Market Cointegration;

References

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Brian M. Lucey, QiYu Zhang* School of Business, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland, 2009. "Emerging Markets Capital Structure and Financial Integration," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp305, IIIS.
  2. Chien-Chung Nieh & Hwey-Yun Yau & Ken Hung & Hong-Kou Ou & Shine Hung, 2013. "Cointegration and causal relationships among steel prices of Mainland China, Taiwan, and USA in the presence of multiple structural changes," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 545-561, April.
  3. Ceylan Onay & Gözde Ünal, 2012. "Cointegration and Extreme Value Analyses of Bovespa and the Istanbul Stock Exchange," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 62(1), pages 66-90, February.
  4. Syllignakis, Manolis N. & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2011. "Dynamic correlation analysis of financial contagion: Evidence from the Central and Eastern European markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 717-732, October.
  5. Awartani, Basel & Maghyereh, Aktham I. & Shiab, Mohammad Al, 2013. "Directional spillovers from the U.S. and the Saudi market to equities in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 224-242.
  6. A. Maghyereh & B. Awartani, 2012. "Return and volatility spillovers between Dubai financial market and Abu Dhabi Stock Exchange in the UAE," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(10), pages 837-848, May.
  7. Guidi, Francesco & Ugur, Mehmet, 2012. "Are South East Europe stock markets integrated with regional and global stock markets?," MPRA Paper 44133, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2012.

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