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Price stabilization and impacts of trade liberalization in the Southeast Asian rice market

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  • Hoang, Hoa K.
  • Meyers, William H.

Abstract

A global rice model using a partial equilibrium framework is used to investigate the impact of trade liberalization in major rice trading countries of Southeast Asia, focusing on the price stabilization mechanism that has long been adopted by governments in Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines. The simulation results suggest that the removal of state trading enterprises in these three countries would lower their domestic prices by as much as 34% but increase the world prices by about 20%. When free trade liberalization is realized in 2020, domestic prices decline further in Indonesia and the Philippines, leading to an increase in their imports, which are estimated to be as much as 4.5milliontons. The impact on domestic prices, however, is absorbed nearly evenly among Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam.

Suggested Citation

  • Hoang, Hoa K. & Meyers, William H., 2015. "Price stabilization and impacts of trade liberalization in the Southeast Asian rice market," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 26-39.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jfpoli:v:57:y:2015:i:c:p:26-39
    DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2015.07.009
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    8. Harold Glenn A. Valera & Mark J. Holmes & Valerien O. Pede & Jean Balié, 2023. "How convergent are rice export prices in the international market?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 54(1), pages 127-141, January.
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    11. Valera, Harold Glenn & Yamano, Takashi & Pede, Valerien, 2021. "Impact of Rice Trade Policy in Southeast Asia," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315265, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    12. Pieters, Hannah & Swinnen, Johan, 2016. "Trading-off volatility and distortions? Food policy during price spikes," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 27-39.
    13. Minot, Nicholas & Balie, Jean & Valera, Harold Glenn A., 2021. "Prioritizing yield-increasing crop research for poverty impact: An application of microsimulation in the Philippines," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 313976, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    14. Khondoker A. Mottaleb & Roderick M. Rejesus & MVR Murty & Samarendu Mohanty & Tao Li, 2017. "Benefits of the development and dissemination of climate-smart rice: ex ante impact assessment of drought-tolerant rice in South Asia," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 22(6), pages 879-901, August.
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