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Impacts of climate change on agriculture: Evidence from China

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  • Chen, Shuai
  • Chen, Xiaoguang
  • Xu, Jintao

Abstract

To move China׳s climate policy forward, improved analyses of climate impacts on economic sectors using rigorous methodology and high quality data are called for. We develop an empirical framework, using fine-scale meteorological data, to estimate the link between corn and soybean yields and weather in China. We find that (i) there are nonlinear and inverted U-shaped relationships between crop yields and weather variables; (ii) global warming has caused an economic loss of about $820 million to China׳s corn and soybean sectors in the past decade; and (iii) corn and soybean yields are projected to decline by 3–12% and 7–19%, respectively, by 2100.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Shuai & Chen, Xiaoguang & Xu, Jintao, 2016. "Impacts of climate change on agriculture: Evidence from China," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 105-124.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jeeman:v:76:y:2016:i:c:p:105-124
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2015.01.005
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate change; Agriculture; Temperature; Crop yields; Corn and soybeans; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q10 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - General

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