Emerging markets' spreads and global financial conditions
AbstractIn this article, we analyze how much of the reduction in emerging markets' spreads can be ascribed to specific factors--linked to the improvement in a given country's fundamentals, rather than to common factors--linked to global liquidity conditions and agents' risk aversion. By means of factor analysis, we find that a single common factor is able to explain a large part of the co-variation in emerging market economies' (EMEs) spreads observed in the last 4 years; in turn, this common factor can be traced back mainly to financial market volatility. Due to the particularly benign global financial conditions of recent years, spreads seem to have declined to below the levels warranted by improved fundamentals. As a consequence, EMEs do remain vulnerable to sudden shifts in financial market conditions.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money.
Volume (Year): 19 (2009)
Issue (Month): 2 (April)
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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/intfin
Emerging markets Spreads Factor analysis;
Other versions of this item:
- Alessio Ciarlone & Paolo Piselli & Giorgio Trebeschi, 2007. "Emerging Markets Spreads and Global Financial Conditions," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 637, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models &bull Diffusion Processes
- F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
- G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
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