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Common factors in emerging market spreads

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Author Info
Patrick McGuire
Martijn A Schrijvers
Abstract

Emerging market sovereign bonds have become an important asset class for portfolio managers. A striking feature of the spreads on these bonds for different countries is that they tend to move in tandem over time. This paper investigates the extent to which these spreads can be explained by just one or two factors that are common across issuers. For a sample of 15 emerging market issuers, common factors account for an average of one third of the total daily variation in the various spreads. A single common factor explains approximately 80% of the common variation. This factor seems to reflect primarily changes in investors’ attitudes towards risk, as evidenced by its relatively high correlation with economic variables that track changes in risk premia.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Bank for International Settlements in its journal BIS Quarterly Review.

Volume (Year): (2003)
Issue (Month): (December)
Pages:
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Handle: RePEc:bis:bisqtr:0312f

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing
G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

Cited by:
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  1. Thomas Stratmann & Bernardin Akitoby, 2006. "Fiscal Policy and Financial Markets," IMF Working Papers 06/16, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2008-4-29.


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