IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finmar/v38y2018icp124-140.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Cognitive reference points, institutional investors' bid prices, and IPO pricing: Evidence from IPO auctions in China

Author

Listed:
  • Gao, Shenghao
  • Meng, Qingbin
  • Chan, Jesse Y.
  • Chan, Kam C.

Abstract

We study institutional investors' bidding behavior in initial public offering (IPO) auctions. Our findings suggest that institutional investors exhibit cognitive reference point (CRP) anchoring. That is, investors focus on integer numbers closest to non-integer endpoints of proposed IPO price range as CRPs when making IPO bids. When institutional investors round up (down) the endpoints of the proposed IPO price range to arrive at CRPs, we find: (1) the average bid price is higher (lower), (2) the subsequent IPO offer price is higher (lower), and (3) IPO first day return is lower (higher).

Suggested Citation

  • Gao, Shenghao & Meng, Qingbin & Chan, Jesse Y. & Chan, Kam C., 2018. "Cognitive reference points, institutional investors' bid prices, and IPO pricing: Evidence from IPO auctions in China," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 124-140.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finmar:v:38:y:2018:i:c:p:124-140
    DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2017.09.002
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1386418116303251
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.finmar.2017.09.002?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wei-Yu Kuo & Tse-Chun Lin & Jing Zhao, 2015. "Cognitive Limitation and Investment Performance: Evidence from Limit Order Clustering," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(3), pages 838-875.
    2. Gao, Shenghao & Meng, Qingbin & Chan, Kam C., 2016. "IPO pricing: Do institutional and retail investor sentiments differ?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 115-117.
    3. Spatt, Chester & Srivastava, Sanjay, 1991. "Preplay Communication, Participation Restrictions, and Efficiency in Initial Public Offerings," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 4(4), pages 709-726.
    4. Casey Dougal & Joseph Engelberg & Christopher A. Parsons & Edward D. Van Wesep, 2015. "Anchoring on Credit Spreads," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 70(3), pages 1039-1080, June.
    5. Michelle Lowry & Micah S. Officer & G. William Schwert, 2010. "The Variability of IPO Initial Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 65(2), pages 425-465, April.
    6. Francesca Cornelli & David Goldreich, 2003. "Bookbuilding: How Informative Is the Order Book?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(4), pages 1415-1443, August.
    7. Andrea Frazzini, 2006. "The Disposition Effect and Underreaction to News," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(4), pages 2017-2046, August.
    8. Gao, Shenghao & Meng, Qingbin & Chan, Kam C. & Wu, Weixing, 2017. "Earnings management before IPOs: Are institutional investors misled?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 90-108.
    9. Northcraft, Gregory B. & Neale, Margaret A., 1987. "Experts, amateurs, and real estate: An anchoring-and-adjustment perspective on property pricing decisions," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 84-97, February.
    10. David Hirshleifer, 2001. "Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1533-1597, August.
    11. Herbert A. Simon, 1955. "A Behavioral Model of Rational Choice," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 69(1), pages 99-118.
    12. Biswas, Abhijit, 1992. "The moderating role of brand familiarity in reference price perceptions," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 251-262, November.
    13. O’Connell, Paul G. J. & Teo, Melvyn, 2009. "Institutional Investors, Past Performance, and Dynamic Loss Aversion," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 44(1), pages 155-188, February.
    14. Joshua D. Coval & Tobias J. Moskowitz, 1999. "Home Bias at Home: Local Equity Preference in Domestic Portfolios," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(6), pages 2045-2073, December.
    15. Richard B. Carter & Frederick H. Dark & Ajai K. Singh, 1998. "Underwriter Reputation, Initial Returns, and the Long-Run Performance of IPO Stocks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 53(1), pages 285-311, February.
    16. Utpal Bhattacharya & Craig W. Holden & Stacey Jacobsen, 2012. "Penny Wise, Dollar Foolish: Buy-Sell Imbalances On and Around Round Numbers," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(2), pages 413-431, February.
    17. Furnham, Adrian & Boo, Hua Chu, 2011. "A literature review of the anchoring effect," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 35-42, February.
    18. Baker, Malcolm & Pan, Xin & Wurgler, Jeffrey, 2012. "The effect of reference point prices on mergers and acquisitions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(1), pages 49-71.
    19. Benveniste, Lawrence M. & Spindt, Paul A., 1989. "How investment bankers determine the offer price and allocation of new issues," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 343-361.
    20. Schindler, Robert M & Kirby, Patrick N, 1997. "Patterns of Rightmost Digits Used in Advertised Prices: Implications for Nine-Ending Effects," Journal of Consumer Research, Journal of Consumer Research Inc., vol. 24(2), pages 192-201, September.
    21. Gao, Shenghao & Liu, Jinzhao & Chan, Kam C., 2017. "Does the removal of the IPO lockup matter in IPO pricing?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 246-252.
    22. Chemmanur, Thomas J & Fulghieri, Paolo, 1994. "Investment Bank Reputation, Information Production, and Financial Intermediation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(1), pages 57-79, March.
    23. Kahneman, Daniel, 1992. "Reference points, anchors, norms, and mixed feelings," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 296-312, March.
    24. Huyghebaert, Nancy & Xu, Weidong, 2016. "Bias in the post-IPO earnings forecasts of affiliated analysts: Evidence from a Chinese natural experiment," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(2), pages 486-505.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wenjun Wang, 2023. "Can experience mitigate precautionary bidding? Evidence from a quasi-experiment at an IPO auction," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(2), pages 148-163, March.
    2. Ma, Xinru & He, Jingbin & Liao, Jingchi, 2021. "Does decision fatigue affect institutional bidding behavior? Evidence from Chinese IPO market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 1-12.
    3. Chi, Yeguang & He, Jingbin & Ma, Xinru & Wu, Fei, 2023. "Institutional investor inattention bias in auctioned IPOs," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    4. He, Jingbin & Ma, Xinru & Liao, Jingchi, 2021. "Preference for bid time in hybrid auctioned IPOs: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    5. Güçbilmez, Ufuk & Ó Briain, Tomás, 2021. "Bidding styles of institutional investors in IPO auctions," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    6. Chi, Yeguang & He, Jingbin & Ma, Xinru & Wu, Fei, 2023. "Air pollution and institutional investors' valuation bias during initial public offerings," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    7. Gao, Shenghao & Cao, Feng & Fok, Robert (Chi-Wing), 2019. "The anchoring effect of underwriters' proposed price ranges on institutional investors' bid prices in IPO auctions: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 111-127.
    8. Gao, Shenghao & Brockman, Paul & Meng, Qingbin & Yan, Xuemin, 2020. "Differences of opinion, institutional bids, and IPO underpricing," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    9. Li, Yi & Zhang, Wei, 2021. "Another game in town: Spillover effects of IPOs in China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gao, Shenghao & Cao, Feng & Fok, Robert (Chi-Wing), 2019. "The anchoring effect of underwriters' proposed price ranges on institutional investors' bid prices in IPO auctions: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 111-127.
    2. Ma, Xinru & He, Jingbin & Liao, Jingchi, 2021. "Does decision fatigue affect institutional bidding behavior? Evidence from Chinese IPO market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 1-12.
    3. Gao, Shenghao & Brockman, Paul & Meng, Qingbin & Yan, Xuemin, 2020. "Differences of opinion, institutional bids, and IPO underpricing," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    4. Chi, Yeguang & He, Jingbin & Ma, Xinru & Wu, Fei, 2023. "Air pollution and institutional investors' valuation bias during initial public offerings," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    5. Eric C. Chang & Tse-Chun Lin & Yan Luo & Jinjuan Ren, 2019. "Ex-Day Returns of Stock Distributions: An Anchoring Explanation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(3), pages 1076-1095, March.
    6. Gao, Shenghao & Lu, Ruichang & Ni, Chenkai, 2019. "Institutional investors’ cognitive constraints during initial public offerings," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    7. Maggie Rong Hu & Xiaoyang Li & Yang Shi & Xiaoquan (Michael) Zhang, 2023. "Numerological Heuristics and Credit Risk in Peer-to-Peer Lending," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 34(4), pages 1744-1760, December.
    8. Gao, Shenghao & Liu, Jinzhao & Chan, Kam C., 2017. "Does the removal of the IPO lockup matter in IPO pricing?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 246-252.
    9. Li, Fengfei & Lin, Ji-Chai & Lin, Tse-Chun & Shang, Longfei, 2023. "Behavioral bias, distorted stock prices, and stock splits," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    10. Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Kallias, Antonios & Kallias, Konstantinos & Tzeremes, Panayiotis G., 2017. "Political money contributions of U.S. IPOs," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 19-38.
    11. Hyoung-Goo Kang & Kyounghun Bae & Jung Ah Shin & Seongmin Jeon, 2021. "Will data on internet queries predict the performance in the marketplace: an empirical study on online searches and IPO stock returns," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 101-124, March.
    12. Degeorge, François & Derrien, François & Womack, Kent L., 2010. "Auctioned IPOs: The US evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(2), pages 177-194, November.
    13. Agathee, Ushad Subadar & Sannassee, Raja Vinesh & Brooks, Chris, 2012. "The underpricing of IPOs on the Stock Exchange of Mauritius," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 281-303.
    14. Eom, Chanyoung, 2018. "Institutional bidding behaviors during IPO bookbuilding: Evidence from Korea," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 413-427.
    15. Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Kallias, Konstantinos & Newton, David & Tzeremes, Nickolaos, 2016. "Political connections and IPO underpricing: An efficiency problem," MPRA Paper 69427, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Chi, Yeguang & He, Jingbin & Ma, Xinru & Wu, Fei, 2023. "Institutional investor inattention bias in auctioned IPOs," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    17. Oghenovo A. Obrimah, 2023. "Underpricing of initial public offerings (IPOs) and the credibility of underwriters’ pricing services," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 1-33, February.
    18. Jagannathan, Ravi & Jirnyi, Andrei & Sherman, Ann Guenther, 2015. "Share auctions of initial public offerings: Global evidence," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 283-311.
    19. Rama Seth & S. R. Vishwanatha & Durga Prasad, 2019. "Allocation to Anchor Investors, Underpricing, and the After‐Market Performance of IPOs," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 48(1), pages 159-186, March.
    20. Daniel Fonseca Costa & Francisval Carvalho & Bruno César Moreira & José Willer Prado, 2017. "Bibliometric analysis on the association between behavioral finance and decision making with cognitive biases such as overconfidence, anchoring effect and confirmation bias," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 111(3), pages 1775-1799, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cognitive reference points; Institutional investors; IPO pricing; IPO auction;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finmar:v:38:y:2018:i:c:p:124-140. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/finmar .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.