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The shape of future electricity demand: Exploring load curves in 2050s Germany and Britain

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  • Boßmann, T.
  • Staffell, I.

Abstract

National demand for electricity follows a regular and predictable daily pattern. This pattern is set to change due to efficiency improvements, de-industrialisation and electrification of heat and transport. These changes are independent of renewable infeed and are not well understood: contemporary studies assume that electricity load curves will retain their current shape, scaling equally in all hours. Changes to this shape will profoundly affect the electricity industry: increasing the requirements for flexible and peaking capacity, and reducing asset utilisation and profitability.

Suggested Citation

  • Boßmann, T. & Staffell, I., 2015. "The shape of future electricity demand: Exploring load curves in 2050s Germany and Britain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(P2), pages 1317-1333.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:90:y:2015:i:p2:p:1317-1333
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2015.06.082
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    References listed on IDEAS

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