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A highly resolved modeling technique to simulate residential power demand

Author

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  • Muratori, Matteo
  • Roberts, Matthew C.
  • Sioshansi, Ramteen
  • Marano, Vincenzo
  • Rizzoni, Giorgio

Abstract

This paper presents a model to simulate the electricity demand of a single household consisting of multiple individuals. The total consumption is divided into four main categories, namely cold appliances, heating, ventilation, and air conditioning, lighting, and energy consumed by household members’ activities. The first three components are modeled using engineering physically-based models, while the activity patterns of individuals are modeled using a heterogeneous Markov chain. Using data collected by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, a case study for an average American household is developed. The data are used to conduct an in-sample validation of the modeled activities and a rigorous statistical validation of the predicted electricity demand against metered data is provided. The results show highly realistic patterns that capture annual and diurnal variations, load fluctuations, and diversity between household configuration, location, and size.

Suggested Citation

  • Muratori, Matteo & Roberts, Matthew C. & Sioshansi, Ramteen & Marano, Vincenzo & Rizzoni, Giorgio, 2013. "A highly resolved modeling technique to simulate residential power demand," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 465-473.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:107:y:2013:i:c:p:465-473
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2013.02.057
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Arghira, Nicoleta & Hawarah, Lamis & Ploix, Stéphane & Jacomino, Mireille, 2012. "Prediction of appliances energy use in smart homes," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 128-134.
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    3. Swan, Lukas G. & Ugursal, V. Ismet, 2009. "Modeling of end-use energy consumption in the residential sector: A review of modeling techniques," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(8), pages 1819-1835, October.
    4. Aydinalp, Merih & Ismet Ugursal, V. & Fung, Alan S., 2002. "Modeling of the appliance, lighting, and space-cooling energy consumptions in the residential sector using neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 87-110, February.
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