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Determinants of price discovery in the VIX futures market

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  • Chen, Yu-Lun
  • Tsai, Wei-Che

Abstract

We utilize the respective information share and common factor component weight approaches of Hasbrouck (1995) and Gonzalo and Granger (1995) to examine price discovery competition between the VIX and VIX futures. Our results show that VIX futures prices play a dominant role in the overall process of price discovery. An increase in the price difference between the VIX and VIX futures, commonly referred to as the futures basis, causes a corresponding increase in the contribution to price discovery made by VIX futures. Our empirical results also show that news announcements on macro-economic issues in the United States increase the dominant role of VIX futures in the overall process of price discovery. This dominant role remains unchanged when compared to VIX exchange-traded products and the volatility indices on non-US equity exchange-traded funds.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Yu-Lun & Tsai, Wei-Che, 2017. "Determinants of price discovery in the VIX futures market," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 59-73.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:empfin:v:43:y:2017:i:c:p:59-73
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2017.05.002
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Price discovery; VIX; VIX futures; Futures basis; Information shares;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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