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An exploration of the effect of doubt during disasters on equity premiums

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  • Suzuki, Shiba

Abstract

In this note, we consider the effect on equity premiums of a representative household’s subjective expectations during disasters. In particular, we focus on the effect of doubt during disasters. We derive analytical solutions of equity premiums in the model of power utility function and conduct numerical exercises of the model of the recursive utility function. Our contribution is to demonstrate that doubt during disasters–even mild ones–generates high equity premiums.

Suggested Citation

  • Suzuki, Shiba, 2014. "An exploration of the effect of doubt during disasters on equity premiums," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 123(3), pages 270-273.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:123:y:2014:i:3:p:270-273
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2014.02.010
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mehra, Rajnish & Prescott, Edward C., 1985. "The equity premium: A puzzle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 145-161, March.
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    4. Saito, Makoto & Suzuki, Shiba, 2014. "Persistent Catastrophic Shocks And Equity Premiums: A Note," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(5), pages 1161-1171, July.
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    9. Abel, Andrew B., 2002. "An exploration of the effects of pessimism and doubt on asset returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 26(7-8), pages 1075-1092, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yoshiaki Hoshino & Ryuichiro Ishikawa & Akira Yamazaki, 2013. "Unequal Distribution of Powers in a Wicksellian Transfer Game," Discussion Papers 24, Meisei University, School of Economics.
    2. Akira Yamazaki, 2013. "Production Atomless Economies," Discussion Papers 25, Meisei University, School of Economics.
    3. Shiba Suzuki & Hiroaki Yamagami, 2020. "Optimism on Pollution-Driven Disasters and Asset Prices," Working Papers 2020.06, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Subjective expectations; Disasters; Equity premium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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