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Macroeconomic implications of dynamically inconsistent preferences

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  • Choi, Yoonseok

Abstract

Despite the widespread use of models of intertemporal choices in economics, previous studies have assumed that intertemporal preferences are dynamically consistent. This paper provides a fresh perspective on propagation mechanisms of a typical macroeconomic shock in a model with dynamically inconsistent preferences. To this end, I develop a prototypical neoclassical model that features dynamically inconsistent preferences to explore dynamic responses of key macro-aggregates, discounted cumulative effects and some characteristics of aggregate fluctuations in response to a technology shock. The main findings reveal that (a) consumption and investment in the proposed model show a larger increase than those in a standard neoclassical model; (b) unlike the standard model, the proposed model yields a short-run decline in labor, which is corroborated by previous studies; (c) all of these dynamic responses in the proposed model deliver smaller cumulative output effects; (d) the proposed model does a reasonably good job of matching key characteristics of aggregate fluctuations with the counterparts observed in the postwar U.S. data. The present-bias and sophistication effects are the linchpin of these main results. Various analyses on a set of different parameter values are also discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Choi, Yoonseok, 2020. "Macroeconomic implications of dynamically inconsistent preferences," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 267-279.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:87:y:2020:i:c:p:267-279
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2019.08.003
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    2. Choi, Yoonseok & Kim, Sunghyun Henry, 2021. "Understanding the effects of government spending in a time-inconsistent model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 266-279.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business cycles; Technology shock; Dynamically inconsistent preferences; Sophistication effect; Present-bias effect;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E70 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - General

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