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Risk and preference reversals in intertemporal choice

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  • Gerber, Anke
  • Rohde, Kirsten I.M.

Abstract

Abstract This paper argues that observations of non-stationary choice behavior need not necessarily imply specific properties of the individual's discount function. As we show, the observed preference reversals in intertemporal choice are consistent with constant discounting and can alternatively be explained by decreasing absolute risk aversion together with the individual's risk perception. This risk may concern the size of the actual outcome or the endowment consumption stream to which the outcome is added. Both types of uncertainty naturally appear in the context of intertemporal choice. We show how relative degrees of changes in risk over time can determine choices.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization.

Volume (Year): 76 (2010)
Issue (Month): 3 (December)
Pages: 654-668

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Handle: RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:76:y:2010:i:3:p:654-668

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jebo

Related research

Keywords: Hyperbolic discounting Decreasing impatience Increasing impatience Risk;

References

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Cited by:
  1. Nicole Senecal & Teresa Wang & Elizabeth Thompson & Joseph W. Kable, 2012. "Normative arguments from experts and peers reduce delay discounting," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 7(5), pages 568-589, September.
  2. Anke Gerber & Kirsten I.M. Rohde, 2013. "Weighted Temporal Utility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-167/1, Tinbergen Institute.
  3. Anke Gerber & Kirsten I.M. Rohde, 2009. "Eliciting Discount Functions when Baseline Consumption changes over Time," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 09-103/1, Tinbergen Institute, revised 24 Feb 2010.

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