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The impact of climate change on a cost-optimal highly renewable European electricity network

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  • Schlott, Markus
  • Kies, Alexander
  • Brown, Tom
  • Schramm, Stefan
  • Greiner, Martin

Abstract

We use three ensemble members of the EURO-CORDEX project and their data on surface wind speeds, solar irradiation as well as water runoff with a spatial resolution of 12 km and a temporal resolution of 3 h under representative concentration pathway 8.5 (associated with a strong climate change and a temperature increase of 2.6–4.8 °C until the end of the century) until 2100 to investigate the impact of climate change on wind, solar and hydro resources and consequently on a highly renewable and cost-optimal European power system.

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  • Schlott, Markus & Kies, Alexander & Brown, Tom & Schramm, Stefan & Greiner, Martin, 2018. "The impact of climate change on a cost-optimal highly renewable European electricity network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 1645-1659.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:230:y:2018:i:c:p:1645-1659
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.09.084
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    8. Cohen, Stuart M. & Dyreson, Ana & Turner, Sean & Tidwell, Vince & Voisin, Nathalie & Miara, Ariel, 2022. "A multi-model framework for assessing long- and short-term climate influences on the electric grid," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 317(C).
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    11. Grochowicz, Aleksander & van Greevenbroek, Koen & Benth, Fred Espen & Zeyringer, Marianne, 2023. "Intersecting near-optimal spaces: European power systems with more resilience to weather variability," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    12. Emodi, Nnaemeka Vincent & Chaiechi, Taha & Alam Beg, A.B.M. Rabiul, 2019. "Are emission reduction policies effective under climate change conditions? A backcasting and exploratory scenario approach using the LEAP-OSeMOSYS Model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 1183-1217.
    13. Fortes, Patrícia & Simoes, Sofia G. & Amorim, Filipa & Siggini, Gildas & Sessa, Valentina & Saint-Drenan, Yves-Marie & Carvalho, Sílvia & Mujtaba, Babar & Diogo, Paulo & Assoumou, Edi, 2022. "How sensitive is a carbon-neutral power sector to climate change? The interplay between hydro, solar and wind for Portugal," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PB).
    14. Chang, Miguel & Thellufsen, Jakob Zink & Zakeri, Behnam & Pickering, Bryn & Pfenninger, Stefan & Lund, Henrik & Østergaard, Poul Alberg, 2021. "Trends in tools and approaches for modelling the energy transition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    15. Jafari, Mehdi & Botterud, Audun & Sakti, Apurba, 2022. "Decarbonizing power systems: A critical review of the role of energy storage," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    16. Markus Schlott & Omar El Sayed & Mariia Bilousova & Fabian Hofmann & Alexander Kies & Horst Stocker, 2021. "Carbon Leakage in a European Power System with Inhomogeneous Carbon Prices," Papers 2105.05669, arXiv.org.
    17. Schyska, Bruno U. & Kies, Alexander, 2020. "How regional differences in cost of capital influence the optimal design of power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
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    19. Figueiredo, Raquel & Nunes, Pedro & Brito, Miguel C., 2021. "The resilience of a decarbonized power system to climate variability: Portuguese case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    20. Delorit, Justin D. & Schuldt, Steven J. & Chini, Christopher M., 2020. "Evaluating an adaptive management strategy for organizational energy use under climate uncertainty," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
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