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Expectations hypotheses tests at Long Horizons

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Author Info
Barbara Rossi

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Abstract

Many rational expectations models state that an economic variable is determined as the present value of future variables. These restrictions have traditionally been tested on VARs where variables appear either in levels (or cointegrating relationships) or first differences. When variables are highly persistent, commonly used test statistics may lead to overrejections in small samples. Copyright Royal Economic Society 2007

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1368-423X.2007.00222.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Royal Economic Society in its journal Econometrics Journal.

Volume (Year): 10 (2007)
Issue (Month): 3 (November)
Pages: 554-579
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Handle: RePEc:ect:emjrnl:v:10:y:2007:i:3:p:554-579

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  1. Enrique Martinez-Garcia, 2008. "Globalization and monetary policy: an introduction," Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute Working Paper 11, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. [Downloadable!]
  2. Elena Pesavento, 2006. "Near-Optimal Unit Root Tests with Stationary Covariates with Better Finite Sample Size," Economics Working Papers ECO2006/18, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Yu-chin Chen & Kenneth Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2008. "Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?," Working Papers UWEC-2008-11, University of Washington, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Jean Boivin & Marc P. Giannoni & BenoƮt Mojon, 2008. "How Has the Euro Changed the Monetary Transmission?," NBER Working Papers 14190, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-27.


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