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Measuring and Testing Natural Gas and Electricity Markets Volatility: Evidence from Alberta's Deregulated Markets

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Author Info

  • Serletis Apostolos

    ()
    (University of Calgary)

  • Shahmoradi Akbar

    ()
    (RiskAdvisory Department, SAS Canada)

Abstract

In this paper we specify and estimate a multivariate GARCH-M model of natural gas and electricity price changes, and test for causal relationships between natural gas and electricity price changes and their volatilities, using data over the deregulated period from January 1, 1996 to November 9, 2004 from Alberta's (deregulated) spot power and natural gas markets. The model allows for the possibilities of spillovers and asymmetries in the variance-covariance structure for natural gas and electricity price changes, and also for the separate examination of the effects of the volatility of anticipated and unanticipated changes in natural gas and electricity prices.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by De Gruyter in its journal Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 10 (2006)
Issue (Month): 3 (September)
Pages: 1-20

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Handle: RePEc:bpj:sndecm:v:10:y:2006:i:3:n:10

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Cited by:
  1. Schlueter, Stephan, 2010. "A long-term/short-term model for daily electricity prices with dynamic volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 1074-1081, September.
  2. Matteo Manera & Massimiliano Serati & Michele Plotegher, 2008. "Modeling Electricity Prices: From the State of the Art to a Draft of a New Proposal," Working Papers 2008.9, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
  3. Nakajima, Tadahiro & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2013. "Testing causal relationships between wholesale electricity prices and primary energy prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 869-877.
  4. Le Pen, Yannick & Sévi, Benoît, 2010. "Volatility transmission and volatility impulse response functions in European electricity forward markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 758-770, July.
  5. Furió, Dolores & Chuliá, Helena, 2012. "Price and volatility dynamics between electricity and fuel costs: Some evidence for Spain," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 2058-2065.
  6. Olga Efimova & Apostolos Serletis, 2014. "Energy Markets Volatility Modelling using GARCH," Working Papers 2014-39, Department of Economics, University of Calgary, revised 24 Feb 2014.

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