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Propagation of economic shocks through global supply chains—Evidence from Hurricane Sandy

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  • Yuzuka Kashiwagi
  • Yasuyuki Todo
  • Petr Matous

Abstract

This study examines whether and how economic shocks from natural disasters propagate through supply chains to regions not directly hit by disasters. Although such propagation has been studied, less attention has been paid to heterogeneity across network characteristics of firms. Focusing on the impacts of a hurricane and using firm‐level data for major firms in the world that include supply‐chain ties among them, we find evidence of the intra‐national propagation of the shock in the United States. Our results further suggest that both input specificity and network density are important determinants of the level of propagation.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuzuka Kashiwagi & Yasuyuki Todo & Petr Matous, 2021. "Propagation of economic shocks through global supply chains—Evidence from Hurricane Sandy," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(5), pages 1186-1220, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:reviec:v:29:y:2021:i:5:p:1186-1220
    DOI: 10.1111/roie.12541
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    1. Hayato Kato & Toshihiro Okubo, 2022. "The Resilience of FDI to Natural Disasters Through Industrial Linkages," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 82(1), pages 177-225, May.
    2. Todd E. Clark & Matthew V. Gordon, 2023. "The Impacts of Supply Chain Disruptions on Inflation," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(08), pages 1-8, May.
    3. Giovanna Culot & Matteo Podrecca & Guido Nassimbeni & Guido Orzes & Marco Sartor, 2023. "Using supply chain databases in academic research: A methodological critique," Journal of Supply Chain Management, Institute for Supply Management, vol. 59(1), pages 3-25, January.
    4. Sally Chen & Eric Tsang & Leanne Si Ying Zhang, 2023. "Global supply chain interdependence and shock amplification - evidence from Covid lockdowns," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    5. Spatareanu, Mariana & Manole, Vlad & Kabiri, Ali & Roland, Isabelle, 2023. "Bank default risk propagation along supply chains: evidence from the U.K," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117351, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. INOUE Hiroyasu & OKUMURA Yoshihiro & TORAYASHIKI Tetsuya & TODO Yasuyuki, 2022. "Establishment-level Simulation of Supply Chain Disruption: The case of the Great East Japan Earthquake," Discussion papers 22059, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    7. Sally Chen & Eric Tsang & Leanne Si Ying Zhang, 2023. "Global supply chain interdependence and shock amplification – evidence from Covid lockdowns," BIS Working Papers 1123, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. Spatareanu, Mariana & Manole, Vlad & Kabiri, Ali & Roland, Isabelle, 2023. "Bank default risk propagation along supply chains: Evidence from the U.K," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 813-831.
    9. Bena, Jan & Dinc, Serdar & Erel, Isil, 2022. "The international propagation of economic downturns through multinational companies: The real economy channel," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 277-304.
    10. KASHIWAGI Yuzuka & TODO Yasuyuki, 2022. "Trade Disruption and Risk Perception," Discussion papers 22086, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    11. INOUE Hiroyasu & TODO Yasuyuki, 2022. "Propagation of Overseas Economic Shocks through Global Supply Chains: Firm-level evidence," Discussion papers 22062, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    12. Yasuyuki Todo & Keita Oikawa & Masahito Ambashi & Fukunari Kimura & Shujiro Urata, 2023. "Robustness and resilience of supply chains during the COVID‐19 pandemic," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(6), pages 1843-1872, June.
    13. TODO Yasuyuki, 2022. "Resilient and Innovative Supply Chains: Evidence-based policy and managerial implications," Policy Discussion Papers 22024, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).

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