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What do Exogenous Shocks Tell Us about Growth Theories?

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Author Info
Ilan Noy () (Department of Economics, University of Hawaii at Manoa)
Aekkanush Nualsri () (Department of Economics, University of Hawaii at Manoa)

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Abstract

The sources of economic growth and development have been puzzling economists from the modern dawn of the profession. While the Solow-Swan neo-classical model dominated research on growth in the 1960s and 1970s, the 1980s saw the emergence of growth theories that disputed, largely on theoretical grounds, the Solow-Swan assumptions and conclusions. In this paper, we do not examine the determinants of the level of per capita income as an indication that a certain theory has better explanatory power. Rather, we focus on the dynamics of growth following external exogenous shocks (natural disasters). We argue that the data analysis we present suggests that the neoclassical model does not accord very well with the growth experience of developing countries.

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File URL: http://www.economics.hawaii.edu/research/workingpapers/WP_07-28.pdf
File Format: application/pdf
File Function: First version, 2007
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 200728.

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Length: 31 pages
Date of creation: 29 Oct 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hai:wpaper:200728

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Related research
Keywords: growth theory; long run growth; Solow; disasters; exogenous shocks;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
O11 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
O40 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters

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  1. Makena Coffman & Ilan Noy, 2009. "A Hurricane’s Long-Term Economic Impact: the Case of Hawaii’s Iniki," Working Papers 200905, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Eric Strobl, 2009. "The impact of hurricane strikes on local cropland productivity: Evidence from the Carribean," Working Papers hal-00393883_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
  3. Eliza M. Lis & Christiane Nickel, 2009. "The Impact of Extreme Weather Events on Budget Balances and Implications for Fiscal Policy," Working Paper Series 1055, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  4. Ilan Noy & Tam Bang Vu, 2009. "The Economics of Natural Disasters in a Developing Country: The Case of Vietnam," Working Papers 200903, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Makena Coffman & Ilan Noy, 2009. "In the Eye of the Storm: Coping with Future Natural Disasters in Hawaii," Working Papers 200904, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-9.


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