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The Balassa-Samuelson Effect on the Bulgarian Economy

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  • Georgi Chukalev
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    Abstract

    This research studies the influence of the Balassa-Samuelson effect on Bulgarian inflation and the real appreciation of BGN in relation to main trade partners currencies. According to the results obtained, the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis stands for the Bulgarian economy. The higher rate of tradable sector productivity in Bulgaria brings about adjustment of wages and prices to EU countries levels. Thus the assumed sustainable GDP growth would still evoke higher inflation rates in Bulgaria compared to EU. Additional effects on Bulgarian inflation rates would have the conclusion of price liberalization and excises harmonization.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute in its journal Economic Studies.

    Volume (Year): (2002)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 58-87

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    Handle: RePEc:bas:econst:y:2002:i:2:p:58-87

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    1. Mihály András Kovács & András Simon, 1998. "The components of the real exchange rate in Hungary," MNB Working Papers 1998/3, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (the central bank of Hungary).
    2. Laszlo Halpern & Charles Wyplosz, 2001. "Economic Transformation and Real Exchange Rates in the 2000s: The Balassa-Samuelson Connection," ECE Discussion Papers Series 2001_1, UNECE.
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