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Estimating the Impact of the Balassa-Samuelson Effect in Transition Economies

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Author Info
Lojschová, Adriana (Department of Economics and Finance, Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna)
Abstract

The Balassa-Samuelson (BS) effect is usually considered as the prime explanation of the continuous real exchange rate appreciation of the central and east European (CEE) transition countries against their western European counterparts. This paper tries to explain relative price differentials observed over the past decade between four CEE economies - Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland - and Euro area in terms of productivity growth differentials. Using panel estimation techniques, we find strong empirical evidence in favour of the BS hypothesis. Furthermore, relaxing some of the assumptions (i.e. PPP holds for tradable goods) results in little support of BS hypothesis. Our estimates of the BS term suggest that the Balassa-Samuelson effect in these 4 CEE countries does not have to be as sizeable as other studies propose.

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File URL: http://www.ihs.ac.at/publications/eco/es-140.pdf
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File Function: First version, 2003
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Institute for Advanced Studies in its series Economics Series with number 140.

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Length: 35 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2003
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Handle: RePEc:ihs:ihsesp:140

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Related research
Keywords: Balassa-Samuelson effect Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Real exchange rate appreciation Transition economies

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Boštjan Jazbec, 2002. "Real Exchange Rates in Transition Economies," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 482, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School. [Downloadable!]
  2. Luca Antonio Ricci & Ronald MacDonald, . "PPP and the Balassa Samuelson Effect: The Role of the Distribution Sector," IMF Working Papers 01/38, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Alberola, E. & Tyrvainen, T., 1998. "Is There Scope for Inflation Differentials in EMU? An Empirical Evaluation of te Balassa-Samuelson Model in EMU Countries," Bank of Finland - Studies in Economics and Finance 15/98, Bank of Finland. Research Department..
    Other versions:
  4. Jose De Gregorio & Holger C. Wolf & Alberto Giovannini, 1994. "International Evidence on Tradables and Nontradables Inflation," IMF Working Papers 94/33, International Monetary Fund.
    Other versions:
  5. Laszlo Halpern & Charles Wyplosz, 2001. "Economic Transformation and Real Exchange Rates in the 2000s: The Balassa-Samuelson Connection," ECE Discussion Papers Series 2001_1, UNECE. [Downloadable!]
  6. Ricardo Faria, Joao & Leon-Ledesma, Miguel, 2003. "Testing the Balassa-Samuelson effect: Implications for growth and the PPP," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 241-253, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Lionel Halpern & Charles Wyplosz, 1996. "Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies," IMF Working Papers 96/125, International Monetary Fund.
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Balázs Égert, 2005. "Balassa-Samuelson Meets South Eastern Europe, the CIS and Turkey: A Close Encounter of the Third Kind?," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 2(2), pages 221-243, December. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Sarah M. Lein-Rupprecht & Miguel A. León-Ledesma & Carolin Nerlich, 2007. "How is real convergence driving nominal convergence in the new EU Member States?," Working Paper Series 827, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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