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Investigating Asymmetries in Macroeconomic Aggregates of Central and Eastern European Economies

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  • Veli Yilanci

    ()
    (Istanbul University, Beyazit, Istanbul, Turkey)

Abstract

This study examines the asymmetric behavior of macroeconomic aggregates for Bulgaria, Croatia and Romania by employing Triples test of Randles et al. (1980). The results reveal that while most of the macroeconomic series for Bulgaria and Croatia are characterized by asymmetric behavior; comparatively, a small number of series for Romania were found to be asymmetric. The results imply that policy-makers and researchers should be cautious when forecasting these series and making inferences using linear econometric methodologies since linear models are not capable of generating asymmetric fluctuations.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania in its journal The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal.

Volume (Year): 14 (2012)
Issue (Month): 31 (February)
Pages: 223-229

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Handle: RePEc:aes:amfeco:v:14:y:2012:i:31:p:223-229

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Related research

Keywords: asymmetry; Central and Eastern European countries; deepness; steepness;

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  1. Sichel, Daniel E, 1993. "Business Cycle Asymmetry: A Deeper Look," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 31(2), pages 224-36, April.
  2. W.A. Razzak, 2001. "Business Cycle Asymmetries: International Evidence," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 4(1), pages 230-243, January.
  3. Hodrick, Robert J & Prescott, Edward C, 1997. "Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(1), pages 1-16, February.
  4. PareshKumar Narayan & Seema Narayan, 2008. "Examining The Asymmetric Behaviour Of Macroeconomic Aggregates In Asian Economies," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(5), pages 567-574, December.
  5. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Popp, Stephan, 2009. "Can the electricity market be characterised by asymmetric behaviour?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4364-4372, November.
  6. McQueen, Grant & Thorley, Steven, 1993. "Asymmetric business cycle turning points," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 341-362, June.
  7. Randal Verbrugge Randal Verbrugge, 1997. "Investigating Cyclical Asymmetries," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 2(1), pages 1-10, April.
  8. Beaudry, Paul & Koop, Gary, 1993. "Do recessions permanently change output?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 149-163, April.
  9. Wesley Clair Mitchell, 1927. "Business Cycles: The Problem and Its Setting," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number mitc27-1, October.
  10. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2009. "Are health expenditures and GDP characterized by asymmetric behaviour? Evidence from 11 OECD countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 531-536.
  11. Belaire-Franch Jorge & Contreras Dulce, 2003. "An Assessment of International Business Cycle Asymmetries using Clements and Krolzig's Parametric Approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(4), pages 1-11, March.
  12. Seema Narayan & Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2007. "Understanding asymmetries in macroeconomic aggregates: the case of Singapore," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(12), pages 905-908.
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