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The importance of the volatility risk premium for volatility forecasting

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  1. Wu, Lingke & Liu, Dehong & Yuan, Jianglei & Huang, Zhenhuan, 2022. "Implied volatility information of Chinese SSE 50 ETF options," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 609-624.
  2. Eunho Koo & Geonwoo Kim, 2023. "A New Neural Network Approach for Predicting the Volatility of Stock Market," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1665-1679, April.
  3. Wu, Xinyu & He, Qizhi & Xie, Haibin, 2023. "Forecasting VIX with time-varying risk aversion," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 458-475.
  4. Prokopczuk, Marcel & Symeonidis, Lazaros & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2017. "Variance risk in commodity markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 136-149.
  5. Trung H. Le & Apostolos Kourtis & Raphael Markellos, 2023. "Modeling skewness in portfolio choice," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 734-770, June.
  6. Mittnik, Stefan & Robinzonov, Nikolay & Spindler, Martin, 2015. "Stock market volatility: Identifying major drivers and the nature of their impact," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1-14.
  7. Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Sensoy, Ahmet & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Salah Uddin, Gazi, 2020. "U.S. equity and commodity futures markets: Hedging or financialization?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  8. Fassas, Athanasios P. & Papadamou, Stephanos, 2018. "Variance risk premium and equity returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 462-470.
  9. Shao, Chengwu & Bhar, Ramaprasad & Colwell, David B. & Sheng, Ni & Wei, Xinyang, 2024. "Variance dynamics and term structure of the natural gas market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
  10. Rainer Baule & Olaf Korn & Sven Saßning, 2016. "Which Beta Is Best? On the Information Content of Option†implied Betas," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 22(3), pages 450-483, June.
  11. Dudley Gilder & Leonidas Tsiaras, 2020. "Volatility forecasts embedded in the prices of crude‐oil options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1127-1159, July.
  12. Dicle, Mehmet F. & Levendis, John, 2020. "Historic risk and implied volatility," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
  13. Oikonomou, Ioannis & Stancu, Andrei & Symeonidis, Lazaros & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2019. "The information content of short-term options," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
  14. Alfeus, Mesias & Nikitopoulos, Christina Sklibosios, 2022. "Forecasting volatility in commodity markets with long-memory models," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
  15. Murad Samsudin, Najmi Ismail & Mohamad, Azhar & Sifat, Imtiaz Mohammad, 2021. "Implied volatility of structured warrants: Emerging market evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 464-479.
  16. Fabian Hollstein & Marcel Prokopczuk & Björn Tharann & Chardin Wese Simen, 2019. "Predicting the equity market with option-implied variables," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(10), pages 937-965, July.
  17. Chen, Wang & Lu, Xinjie & Wang, Jiqian, 2022. "Modeling and managing stock market volatility using MRS-MIDAS model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 625-635.
  18. Xinjie Lu & Feng Ma & Jiqian Wang & Jing Liu, 2022. "Forecasting oil futures realized range‐based volatility with jumps, leverage effect, and regime switching: New evidence from MIDAS models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 853-868, July.
  19. Hollstein, Fabian & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2020. "Variance risk: A bird’s eye view," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(2), pages 517-535.
  20. Beare, Brendan K. & Seo, Juwon & Zheng, Zhongxi, 2025. "Stochastic arbitrage with market index options," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
  21. Li, Zhe & Shen, Jiashuang & Xiao, Weilin, 2024. "Volatility risk premium, good volatility and bad volatility: Evidence from SSE 50 ETF options," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  22. Paolo Capelli & Federica Ielasi & Angeloantonio Russo, 2021. "Forecasting volatility by integrating financial risk with environmental, social, and governance risk," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(5), pages 1483-1495, September.
  23. Ye, Wuyi & Xia, Wenjing & Wu, Bin & Chen, Pengzhan, 2022. "Using implied volatility jumps for realized volatility forecasting: Evidence from the Chinese market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  24. Baule, Rainer & Korn, Olaf & Saßning, Sven, 2013. "Which beta is best? On the information content of option-implied betas," CFR Working Papers 13-11, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  25. Agnello, Luca & Castro, Vítor & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2020. "Global factors, uncertainty, weather conditions and energy prices: On the drivers of the duration of commodity price cycle phases," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  26. Goodell, John W. & McGee, Richard J. & McGroarty, Frank, 2020. "Election uncertainty, economic policy uncertainty and financial market uncertainty: A prediction market analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
  27. Bams, Dennis & Blanchard, Gildas & Lehnert, Thorsten, 2017. "Volatility measures and Value-at-Risk," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 848-863.
  28. Apostolos Kourtis & Raphael N. Markellos & Lazaros Symeonidis, 2016. "An International Comparison of Implied, Realized, and GARCH Volatility Forecasts," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(12), pages 1164-1193, December.
  29. Wu, Xinyu & Xie, Haibin & Zhang, Huanming, 2022. "Time-varying risk aversion and renminbi exchange rate volatility: Evidence from CARR-MIDAS model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
  30. Slim, Skander & Dahmene, Meriam & Boughrara, Adel, 2020. "How informative are variance risk premium and implied volatility for Value-at-Risk prediction? International evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 22-37.
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