Economic forecasting with an agent-based model
Citations
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Cited by:
- Kirman, Alan & Armstrong, Angus & Hynes, William, 2026. "Forecasting and policy when “we simply do not know”," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 34-39.
- Cameron Hepburn & Matthew C Ives & Sam Loni & Penny Mealy & Pete Barbrook-Johnson & J Doyne Farmer & Nicholas Stern & Joseph Stiglitz, 2025.
"Economic models and frameworks to guide climate policy,"
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 41(2), pages 616-652.
- Hepburn, Cameron & Ives, Matthew C. & Loni, Sam & Mealy, Penny & Barbrook-Johnson, Pete & Farmer, J. Doyne & Stern, Nicholas & Stiglitz, Joseph, 2025. "Economic models and frameworks to guide climate policy," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 129031, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Ariel Alexi & Teddy Lazebnik & Labib Shami, 2024. "Microfounded Tax Revenue Forecast Model with Heterogeneous Population and Genetic Algorithm Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(5), pages 1705-1734, May.
- Herbert Dawid & Domenico Delli Gatti & Luca Eduardo Fierro & Sebastian Poledna, 2024. "Implications of Behavioral Rules in Agent-Based Macroeconomics," CESifo Working Paper Series 11411, CESifo.
- Martin Jaraiz, 2025. "Efficiency through Evolution, A Darwinian Approach to Agent-Based Economic Forecast Modeling," Papers 2507.04074, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2025.
- Samuel Wiese & Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa & Joel Dyer & Jose Moran & Marco Pangallo & Francois Lafond & John Muellbauer & Anisoara Calinescu & J. Doyne Farmer, 2024.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Dynamics using a Calibrated Data-Driven Agent-based Model,"
Papers
2409.18760, arXiv.org.
- Wiese, Samuel & Kaszowska-Mojsa, Jagoda & Dyer, Joel & Moran, José & Pangallo, Marco & Lafond, François & Muellbauer, John & Calinescu, Anisoara & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2024. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Dynamics using a Calibrated Data-Driven Agent-based Model," INET Oxford Working Papers 2024-06, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
- Domenico, Jacopo Di & Catalano, Michele & Riccetti, Luca, 2025. "Scaling and forecasting in a data-driven agent-based model: Applications to the Italian macroeconomy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
- Massimiliano Carlo Pietro Rizzati & Emanuele Ciola & Enrico Turco & Davide Bazzana & Sergio Vergalli, 2025. "Beyond Green Preferences: Demand-side and Supply-side Drivers in the Low-Carbon Transition," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 88(5), pages 1239-1295, May.
- Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2024. "Navigating through Economic Complexity: Phase Diagrams & Parameter Sloppiness," Papers 2412.11259, arXiv.org.
- Marcin Rzeszutek & Jørgen Vitting Andersen & Adam Szyszka & Szymon Talaga, 2024. "Subjective Well-Being of Chief Executive Officers and Its Impact on Stock Market Volatility During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Poland: Agent-Based Model Perspective," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-04723512, HAL.
- Hommes, Cars & He, Mario & Poledna, Sebastian & Siqueira, Melissa & Zhang, Yang, 2025. "CANVAS: A Canadian behavioral agent-based model for monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
- Leonid Serkov & Sergey Krasnykh, 2023. "The Specific Behavior of Economic Agents with Heterogeneous Expectations in the New Keynesian Model with Rigid Prices and Wages," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-17, February.
- Schütz, Bernhard & Reiter, Oliver & Landesmann, Michael & Jovanović, Branimir, 2025.
"Structural change, income distribution and unemployment related to Covid-19: An agent-based model,"
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 61-84.
- Branimir Jovanović & Michael Landesmann & Oliver Reiter & Bernhard Schütz, 2023. "Structural Change, Income Distribution and Unemployment Related to COVID-19: An Agent-based Model," wiiw Working Papers 223, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
- Aldo Glielmo & Marco Favorito & Debmallya Chanda & Domenico Delli Gatti, 2023. "Reinforcement Learning for Combining Search Methods in the Calibration of Economic ABMs," Papers 2302.11835, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
- Martin Jaraiz, 2026. "Macroeconomic Forecasting from Input-Output Tables Alone: A Darwinian Agent-Based Approach with FIGARO Data," Papers 2603.12412, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
- Ciola, Emanuele & Turco, Enrico Maria & Rizzati, Massimiliano Carlo Pietro & Bazzana, Davide & Vergalli, Sergio, 2025. "Taking the green pill: Macroeconomic and financial risks of the energy transition in the MATRIX model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
- Marcello Nieddu & Marco Raberto & Andrea Teglio, 2025. "The importance of being many: dynamics, interaction and aggregation in a multi-sector economy," Working Papers 2025: 04, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Schiozer, Nikolas & Lima, Gilberto Tadeu & Alexandre, Michel, 2026.
"Heterogeneity in pricing behavior in hybrid DSGE-ABM macrodynamics,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
- Nikolas Schiozer & Gilberto Tadeu Lima & Michel Alexandre, 2024. "Heterogeneity in pricing behavior in hybrid DSGE-ABM macrodynamics," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2024_26, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
- Reissl, Severin & Fierro, Luca E. & Lamperti, Francesco & Roventini, Andrea, 2025. "The DSK stock-flow consistent agent-based integrated assessment model," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
- Marcin Rzeszutek & Jørgen Vitting Andersen & Adam Szyszka & Szymon Talaga, 2024. "Subjective Well-Being of Chief Executive Officers and Its Impact on Stock Market Volatility During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Poland: Agent-Based Model Perspective," Post-Print hal-04723512, HAL.
- Carro, Adrian, 2023. "Taming the housing roller coaster: The impact of macroprudential policy on the house price cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
- Ciola, Emanuele & Turco, Enrico & Rizzati, Massimiliano & Bazzana, Davide & Vergalli, Sergio, 2024.
"Taking the green pill: Macro-financial transition risks and policy challenges in the MATRIX model,"
FEEM Working Papers
348229, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Emanuele Ciola & Enrico M. Turco & Massimiliano Rizzati & Davide Bazzana & Sergio Vergalli, 2024. "Taking the green pill: Macro-financial transition risks and policy challenges in the MATRIX model," Working Papers 2024.27, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Marcin Rzeszutek & Jorgen Vitting Andersen & Adam Szyszka & Szymon Talaga, 2024. "Subjective Well-Being of Chief Executive Officers and Its Impact on Stock Market Volatility During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Poland: Agent-Based Model Perspective," Journal of Happiness Studies, Springer, vol. 25(7), pages 1-15, October.
- Beinhocker, Eric & Bednar, Jenna, 2025. "Complexity and Paradigm Change in Economics," INET Oxford Working Papers 2025-20, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, revised Dec 2025.
- Verona, Fabio, 2026. "Forecasting inflation: The sum of the cycles outperforms the whole," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 1/2026, Bank of Finland.
- Ciambezi, Leonardo & Guerini, Mattia & Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea, 2025.
"Accounting for the multiple sources of inflation: An agent-based model investigation,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
- Ciambezi, Leonardo & Guerini, Mattia & Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea, "undated". "Accounting for the Multiple Sources of Inflation: an Agent-Based Model Investigation," FEEM Working Papers 355302, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Leonardo Ciambezi & Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2023. "Accounting for the Multiple Sources of Inflation: an Agent-Based Model Investigation," GREDEG Working Papers 2023-14, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France, revised Jun 2024.
- Leonardo Ciambezi & Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2024. "Accounting for the Multiple Sources of Inflation: an Agent-Based Model Investigation," LEM Papers Series 2024/15, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Leonardo Ciambezi & Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2025. "Accounting for the Multiple Sources of Inflation: an Agent-Based Model Investigation," Working Papers hal-04978428, HAL.
- Leonardo Ciambezi & Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2025. "Accounting for the Multiple Sources of Inflation: an Agent-Based Model Investigation," Working Papers 2025.10, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Leonardo Ciambezi & Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2025. "Accounting for the Multiple Sources of Inflation: an Agent-Based Model Investigation," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-04978428, HAL.
- Denis Koshelev & Alexey Ponomarenko & Sergei Seleznev, 2023.
"Amortized Neural Networks for Agent-Based Model Forecasting,"
Bank of Russia Working Paper Series
wps115, Bank of Russia.
- Denis Koshelev & Alexey Ponomarenko & Sergei Seleznev, 2023. "Amortized neural networks for agent-based model forecasting," Papers 2308.05753, arXiv.org.
- Franziska Klein & Jeroen van den Bergh & Joël Foramitti & Théo Konc, 2025. "Agentizing a General Equilibrium Model of Environmental Tax Reform," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 88(2), pages 459-502, February.
- Emiliano Alvarez & Volker Grimm, 2024. "The added value of using the ODD Protocol for agent-based modeling in Economics: go for it!," Working Papers 307, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
- Zhang, Jing & Cui, Yinglin & Jin, Yingdan, 2025. "Dynamic interaction between public trust and central bank communication," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 2146-2163.
- Oswald, Yannick & Suchak, Keiran & Malleson, Nick, 2025. "Agent-based models of the United States wealth distribution with Ensemble Kalman Filter," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
- Rizzati, Massimiliano & Landoni, Matteo, 2024. "A systematic review of agent-based modelling in the circular economy: Insights towards a general model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 617-631.
- Lux, Thomas, 2024. "Lack of identification of parameters in a simple behavioral macroeconomic model," Economics Working Papers 2024-02, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Deborah Noguera & Gabriel Montes-Rojas, 2023. "Minskyan model with credit rationing in a network economy," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 1-26, March.
- Di Noia, Jlenia & Caiani, Alessandro & Cesarini, Luigi & Arosio, Marcello & Monteleone, Beatrice, 2025. "A high resolution input–output model to assess the economic impact of floods," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
- Tom Youngman & Tim Lennox & M. Lopes Alves & Pirta Palola & Brendon Tankwa & Emma Bailey & Emilien Ravigne & Thijs Ter Horst & Benjamin Wagenvoort & Harry Lightfoot Brown & Jose Moran & Doyne Farmer, 2026. "Agent-based macroeconomics for the UK's Seventh Carbon Budget," Papers 2602.15607, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
- Christian Kimmich & Klaus Weyerstraß & Thomas Czypionka & Norman FRM Fauster & Maurice Kinner & Elisabeth Laa & Liliana Mateeva & Kerstin Plank & Leonhard Ulrici & Hannes Zenz & Michael Miess & Sebast, 2025. "Economic impact of labor productivity losses induced by heat stress: an agent-based macroeconomic approach," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 178(3), pages 1-21, March.
- Hosszú, Zsuzsanna & Borsos, András & Mérő, Bence & Vágó, Nikolett, 2025. "The optimal choice of scaling in economic agent-based models," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
- Lux, Thomas, 2024. "Lack of identification of parameters in a simple behavioral macroeconomic model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
- Richiardi, Matteo & van de Ven, Justin, 2023. "Back to the future: agent-based modelling and dynamic microsimulation," Centre for Microsimulation and Policy Analysis Working Paper Series CEMPA8/23, Centre for Microsimulation and Policy Analysis at the Institute for Social and Economic Research.
- Aldo Glielmo & Mitja Devetak & Adriano Meligrana & Sebastian Poledna, 2025. "BeforeIT.jl: High-Performance Agent-Based Macroeconomics Made Easy," Papers 2502.13267, arXiv.org.
- Fevereiro, José Bruno R.T. & Genovese, Andrea & Purvis, Ben & Codina, Oriol Vallès & Passarella, Marco Veronese, 2025. "Macroeconomic models for assessing the transition towards a circular economy: A systematic review," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
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