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Economic forecasting with an agent-based model

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Kirman, Alan & Armstrong, Angus & Hynes, William, 2026. "Forecasting and policy when “we simply do not know”," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 34-39.
  2. Beinhocker, Eric & Bednar, Jenna, 2025. "Complexity and Paradigm Change in Economics," INET Oxford Working Papers 2025-20, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, revised Dec 2025.
  3. Verona, Fabio, 2026. "Forecasting inflation: The sum of the cycles outperforms the whole," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 1/2026, Bank of Finland.
  4. Cameron Hepburn & Matthew C Ives & Sam Loni & Penny Mealy & Pete Barbrook-Johnson & J Doyne Farmer & Nicholas Stern & Joseph Stiglitz, 2025. "Economic models and frameworks to guide climate policy," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 41(2), pages 616-652.
  5. Ariel Alexi & Teddy Lazebnik & Labib Shami, 2024. "Microfounded Tax Revenue Forecast Model with Heterogeneous Population and Genetic Algorithm Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(5), pages 1705-1734, May.
  6. Herbert Dawid & Domenico Delli Gatti & Luca Eduardo Fierro & Sebastian Poledna, 2024. "Implications of Behavioral Rules in Agent-Based Macroeconomics," CESifo Working Paper Series 11411, CESifo.
  7. Ciambezi, Leonardo & Guerini, Mattia & Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea, 2025. "Accounting for the multiple sources of inflation: An agent-based model investigation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
  8. Martin Jaraiz, 2025. "Efficiency through Evolution, A Darwinian Approach to Agent-Based Economic Forecast Modeling," Papers 2507.04074, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2025.
  9. Samuel Wiese & Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa & Joel Dyer & Jose Moran & Marco Pangallo & Francois Lafond & John Muellbauer & Anisoara Calinescu & J. Doyne Farmer, 2024. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Dynamics using a Calibrated Data-Driven Agent-based Model," Papers 2409.18760, arXiv.org.
  10. Domenico, Jacopo Di & Catalano, Michele & Riccetti, Luca, 2025. "Scaling and forecasting in a data-driven agent-based model: Applications to the Italian macroeconomy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
  11. Massimiliano Carlo Pietro Rizzati & Emanuele Ciola & Enrico Turco & Davide Bazzana & Sergio Vergalli, 2025. "Beyond Green Preferences: Demand-side and Supply-side Drivers in the Low-Carbon Transition," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 88(5), pages 1239-1295, May.
  12. Denis Koshelev & Alexey Ponomarenko & Sergei Seleznev, 2023. "Amortized Neural Networks for Agent-Based Model Forecasting," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps115, Bank of Russia.
  13. Emanuele Ciola & Enrico M. Turco & Massimiliano Rizzati & Davide Bazzana & Sergio Vergalli, 2024. "Taking the green pill: Macro-financial transition risks and policy challenges in the MATRIX model," Working Papers 2024.27, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
  14. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2024. "Navigating through Economic Complexity: Phase Diagrams & Parameter Sloppiness," Papers 2412.11259, arXiv.org.
  15. Franziska Klein & Jeroen van den Bergh & Joël Foramitti & Théo Konc, 2025. "Agentizing a General Equilibrium Model of Environmental Tax Reform," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 88(2), pages 459-502, February.
  16. Emiliano Alvarez & Volker Grimm, 2024. "The added value of using the ODD Protocol for agent-based modeling in Economics: go for it!," Working Papers 307, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
  17. Marcin Rzeszutek & Jørgen Vitting Andersen & Adam Szyszka & Szymon Talaga, 2024. "Subjective Well-Being of Chief Executive Officers and Its Impact on Stock Market Volatility During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Poland: Agent-Based Model Perspective," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-04723512, HAL.
  18. Hommes, Cars & He, Mario & Poledna, Sebastian & Siqueira, Melissa & Zhang, Yang, 2025. "CANVAS: A Canadian behavioral agent-based model for monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
  19. Leonid Serkov & Sergey Krasnykh, 2023. "The Specific Behavior of Economic Agents with Heterogeneous Expectations in the New Keynesian Model with Rigid Prices and Wages," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-17, February.
  20. Zhang, Jing & Cui, Yinglin & Jin, Yingdan, 2025. "Dynamic interaction between public trust and central bank communication," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 2146-2163.
  21. Oswald, Yannick & Suchak, Keiran & Malleson, Nick, 2025. "Agent-based models of the United States wealth distribution with Ensemble Kalman Filter," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
  22. Rizzati, Massimiliano & Landoni, Matteo, 2024. "A systematic review of agent-based modelling in the circular economy: Insights towards a general model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 617-631.
  23. Schütz, Bernhard & Reiter, Oliver & Landesmann, Michael & Jovanović, Branimir, 2025. "Structural change, income distribution and unemployment related to Covid-19: An agent-based model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 61-84.
  24. Aldo Glielmo & Marco Favorito & Debmallya Chanda & Domenico Delli Gatti, 2023. "Reinforcement Learning for Combining Search Methods in the Calibration of Economic ABMs," Papers 2302.11835, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
  25. Lux, Thomas, 2024. "Lack of identification of parameters in a simple behavioral macroeconomic model," Economics Working Papers 2024-02, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  26. Martin Jaraiz, 2026. "Macroeconomic Forecasting from Input-Output Tables Alone: A Darwinian Agent-Based Approach with FIGARO Data," Papers 2603.12412, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
  27. Deborah Noguera & Gabriel Montes-Rojas, 2023. "Minskyan model with credit rationing in a network economy," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 1-26, March.
  28. Ciola, Emanuele & Turco, Enrico Maria & Rizzati, Massimiliano Carlo Pietro & Bazzana, Davide & Vergalli, Sergio, 2025. "Taking the green pill: Macroeconomic and financial risks of the energy transition in the MATRIX model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
  29. Marcello Nieddu & Marco Raberto & Andrea Teglio, 2025. "The importance of being many: dynamics, interaction and aggregation in a multi-sector economy," Working Papers 2025: 04, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
  30. Schiozer, Nikolas & Lima, Gilberto Tadeu & Alexandre, Michel, 2026. "Heterogeneity in pricing behavior in hybrid DSGE-ABM macrodynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
  31. Di Noia, Jlenia & Caiani, Alessandro & Cesarini, Luigi & Arosio, Marcello & Monteleone, Beatrice, 2025. "A high resolution input–output model to assess the economic impact of floods," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
  32. Reissl, Severin & Fierro, Luca E. & Lamperti, Francesco & Roventini, Andrea, 2025. "The DSK stock-flow consistent agent-based integrated assessment model," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
  33. Tom Youngman & Tim Lennox & M. Lopes Alves & Pirta Palola & Brendon Tankwa & Emma Bailey & Emilien Ravigne & Thijs Ter Horst & Benjamin Wagenvoort & Harry Lightfoot Brown & Jose Moran & Doyne Farmer, 2026. "Agent-based macroeconomics for the UK's Seventh Carbon Budget," Papers 2602.15607, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
  34. Christian Kimmich & Klaus Weyerstraß & Thomas Czypionka & Norman FRM Fauster & Maurice Kinner & Elisabeth Laa & Liliana Mateeva & Kerstin Plank & Leonhard Ulrici & Hannes Zenz & Michael Miess & Sebast, 2025. "Economic impact of labor productivity losses induced by heat stress: an agent-based macroeconomic approach," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 178(3), pages 1-21, March.
  35. Hosszú, Zsuzsanna & Borsos, András & Mérő, Bence & Vágó, Nikolett, 2025. "The optimal choice of scaling in economic agent-based models," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
  36. Lux, Thomas, 2024. "Lack of identification of parameters in a simple behavioral macroeconomic model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
  37. Marcin Rzeszutek & Jørgen Vitting Andersen & Adam Szyszka & Szymon Talaga, 2024. "Subjective Well-Being of Chief Executive Officers and Its Impact on Stock Market Volatility During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Poland: Agent-Based Model Perspective," Post-Print hal-04723512, HAL.
  38. Carro, Adrian, 2023. "Taming the housing roller coaster: The impact of macroprudential policy on the house price cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
  39. Richiardi, Matteo & van de Ven, Justin, 2023. "Back to the future: agent-based modelling and dynamic microsimulation," Centre for Microsimulation and Policy Analysis Working Paper Series CEMPA8/23, Centre for Microsimulation and Policy Analysis at the Institute for Social and Economic Research.
  40. Aldo Glielmo & Mitja Devetak & Adriano Meligrana & Sebastian Poledna, 2025. "BeforeIT.jl: High-Performance Agent-Based Macroeconomics Made Easy," Papers 2502.13267, arXiv.org.
  41. Marcin Rzeszutek & Jorgen Vitting Andersen & Adam Szyszka & Szymon Talaga, 2024. "Subjective Well-Being of Chief Executive Officers and Its Impact on Stock Market Volatility During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Poland: Agent-Based Model Perspective," Journal of Happiness Studies, Springer, vol. 25(7), pages 1-15, October.
  42. Fevereiro, José Bruno R.T. & Genovese, Andrea & Purvis, Ben & Codina, Oriol Vallès & Passarella, Marco Veronese, 2025. "Macroeconomic models for assessing the transition towards a circular economy: A systematic review," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
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