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Mind the output gap: the disconnect of growth and inflation during recessions and convex Phillips curves in the euro area
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Cited by:
- Annalisa Cristini & Piero Ferri, 2021. "Nonlinear models of the Phillips curve," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 1129-1155, September.
- Banerjee, Ryan & Contreras, Juan & Mehrotra, Aaron & Zampolli, Fabrizio, 2024. "Inflation at risk in advanced and emerging market economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
- Fabio Busetti & Michele Caivano & Davide Delle Monache, 2021.
"Domestic and Global Determinants of Inflation: Evidence from Expectile Regression,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(4), pages 982-1001, August.
- Fabio Busetti & Michele Caivano & Davide Delle Monache, 2019. "Domestic and global determinants of inflation: evidence from expectile regression," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1225, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Fabian Eser & Peter Karadi & Philip R. Lane & Laura Moretti & Chiara Osbat, 2020.
"The Phillips Curve at the ECB,"
Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 88(S1), pages 50-85, September.
- Eser, Fabian & Lane, Philip & Moretti, Laura & Osbat, Chiara & Karadi, Peter, 2020. "The Phillips Curve at the ECB," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224627, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Eser, Fabian & Karadi, Peter & Lane, Philip R. & Moretti, Laura & Osbat, Chiara, 2020. "The Phillips Curve at the ECB," Working Paper Series 2400, European Central Bank.
- Damien Nicholas Parker & Willi Semmler, 2024. "Monetary Policy and the Evolution of Wealth Disparity: An Assessment Using US Survey of Consumer Finance Data," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(6), pages 3509-3541, December.
- Chen, Pu & Semmler, Willi, 2018.
"Financial stress, regime switching and spillover effects: Evidence from a multi-regime global VAR model,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 318-348.
- Pu Chen & Willi Semmler, 2017. "Financial Stress, Regime Switching and Spillover Effects: Evidence from a Multi-Regime Global VAR Model," Working Papers 1708, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
- Consolo, Agostino & Da Silva, António Dias, 2019. "The euro area labour market through the lens of the Beveridge curve," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, vol. 4.
- Reichold, Karsten & Wagner, Martin & Damjanovic, Milan & Drenkovska, Marija, 2022. "Sources and Channels of Nonlinearities and Instabilities of the Phillips Curve: Results for the Euro Area and Its Member States," IHS Working Paper Series 40, Institute for Advanced Studies.
- Chen, Pu & Semmler, Willi, 2024. "Wage – price dynamics and financial market in a disequilibrium macro model: A Keynes – Kaldor – Minsky modeling of recession and inflation using VECM," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 433-452.
- Harendra Behera & Garima Wahi & Muneesh Kapur, 2017.
"Phillips Curve Relationship in India: Evidence from State-Level Analysis,"
Working Papers
id:11973, eSocialSciences.
- Behera, Harendra & Wahi, Garima & Kapur, Muneesh, 2017. "Phillips Curve Relationship in India: Evidence from State-Level Analysis," MPRA Paper 80737, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Lucidi, Francesco Simone & Semmler, Willi, 2023.
"Long-run scarring effects of meltdowns in a small-scale nonlinear quadratic model,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Francesco Simone Lucidi & Willi Semmler, 2022. "Long-run scarring effects of meltdowns in a small-scale nonlinear quadratic model," Working Papers in Public Economics 217, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma.
- Hahn, Elke, 2020. "The wage-price pass-through in the euro area: does the growth regime matter?," Working Paper Series 2485, European Central Bank.
- Willi Semmler & Brigitte Young, 2024. "Threats of sovereign debt overhang in the EU, the new fiscal rules and the perils of policy drift," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 41(2), pages 565-595, July.
- Willi Semmler & Fabio Della Rossa & Giuseppe Orlando & Gabriel R. Padro Rosario & Levent Kockesen, 2023. "Endogenous Economic Resilience, Loss of Resilience, Persistent Cycles, Multiple Attractors, and Disruptive Contractions," Working Papers 2309, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
- Haschka, Rouven E., 2024. "Examining the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in the U.S.: Why has the relationship between inflation and unemployment weakened?," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(4).
- António Afonso & José Alves & João Jalles & Sofia Monteiro, 2024.
"Inflation Tales: The Heterogenous Price Effects from Current Account Dynamics,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
11512, CESifo.
- António Afonso & José Alves & João Jalles & Sofia Monteiro, 2024. "Inflation Tales: the Heterogenous Price Effects from Current Account Dynamics," Working Papers REM 2024/0359, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
- Gross, Marco, 2022. "Beautiful cycles: A theory and a model implying a curious role for interest," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
- Bonam, Dennis & de Haan, Jakob & van Limbergen, Duncan, 2021. "Time-varying wage Phillips curves in the euro area with a new measure for labor market slack," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 157-171.
- Błażej, Mirosław & Górajski, Mariusz & Ulrichs, Magdalena, 2025. "Microdata-based output gap estimation using business tendency surveys," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
- Panagiotis Pegkas, 2024. "The Asymmetric Effects of Unemployment and Output on Inflation in Greece: A Nonlinear ARDL Approach," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-21, December.
- Faulwasser Timm & Gross Marco & Semmler Willi & Loungani Prakash, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policy in a nonlinear quadratic model," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(5), pages 1-19, December.
- Chen, Pu & Semmler, Willi & Maurer, Helmut, 2025. "Delayed Monetary Policy Effects in a Multi-Regime Cointegrated VAR(MRCIVAR)," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 105-134.
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & Osbat, Chiara, 2017. "Low inflation in the euro area: Causes and consequences," Occasional Paper Series 181, European Central Bank.
- Kato, Mika & Proaño, Christian R. & Semmler, Willi, 2018. "Does international-reserves targeting decrease the vulnerability to capital flights?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 64-75.
- Wu, Ping, 2024. "Should I open to forecast? Implications from a multi-country unobserved components model with sparse factor stochastic volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 903-917.
- Philipp F. M. Baumann & Enzo Rossi & Alexander Volkmann, 2020.
"What Drives Inflation and How: Evidence from Additive Mixed Models Selected by cAIC,"
Papers
2006.06274, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
- Philipp F. M. Baumann & Enzo Rossi & Alexander Volkmann, 2021. "What drives inflation and how? Evidence from additive mixed models selected by cAIC," Working Papers 2021-12, Swiss National Bank.