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Labour market transitions and the persistence of unemployment: West Germany 1983 - 1992

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  • Steiner, Viktor

Abstract

Although explanations of the persistence of high unemployment in Germany, in particular long-term unemployment, have increasingly focused on structural factors, there is only very limited evidence on their empirical importance so far. In this paper, these factors are analyzed based on a microeconometric model of individual transitions from unemployment into employment and non-participation for the West German labour market. The empirical analysis is based on waves 1 - 9 of the Socio-Economic Panel for West Germany covering the period 1983 to 1992. The focus of the study is on the importance of 'negative duration dependence' arising from causal factors and 'sorting' effects due to unobserved heterogeneity in the unemployment pool. I also sort out the relative contribution of various factors, such as individual characteristics, the state of the labour market, and the effects of unemployment benefits on long-term unemployment.

Suggested Citation

  • Steiner, Viktor, 1994. "Labour market transitions and the persistence of unemployment: West Germany 1983 - 1992," ZEW Discussion Papers 94-20, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:9420
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hunt, Jennifer, 1995. "The Effect of Unemployment Compensation on Unemployment Duration in Germany," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 13(1), pages 88-120, January.
    2. Atkinson, Anthony B & Micklewright, John, 1991. "Unemployment Compensation and Labor Market Transitions: A Critical Review," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 29(4), pages 1679-1727, December.
    3. Stephen W. Salant, 1977. "Search Theory and Duration Data: A Theory of Sorts," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 91(1), pages 39-57.
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    5. Kiefer, Nicholas M, 1988. "Economic Duration Data and Hazard Functions," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 26(2), pages 646-679, June.
    6. Muhleisen, Martin & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 1994. "A panel analysis of job changes and unemployment," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(3-4), pages 793-801, April.
    7. Flaig, Gebhard & Licht, Georg & Steiner, Viktor, 1993. "Testing for state dependence effects in a dynamic model of male unemployment behaviour," ZEW Discussion Papers 93-07, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    8. James J. Heckman, 1981. "Heterogeneity and State Dependence," NBER Chapters, in: Studies in Labor Markets, pages 91-140, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. Steiner, Viktor & Kwiatkowski, Eugeniusz, 1995. "The Polish labour market in transition," ZEW Discussion Papers 95-03, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    2. Schimmelpfennig, Axel, 1999. "Structural change of the production process and unemployment duration in Germany," Kiel Working Papers 959, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

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