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An axiomatic foundation of entropic preferences under Knightian uncertainty

Author

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  • Baumgärtner, Stefan
  • Engler, John-Oliver

Abstract

Decision-making about economy-environment systems is often characterized by deep uncertainties. We provide an axiomatic foundation of preferences over lotteries with known payoffs over known states of nature and unknown probabilities of these outcomes (“Knightian uncertainty"). We elaborate the fundamental idea that preferences over Knightian lotteries can be represented by an entropy function (sensu Lieb and Yngvason 1999) of these lotteries. Based on nine axioms on the preference relation and three assumptions on the set of lotteries, we show that there uniquely (up to linear-affine transformations) exists an additive and extensive real-valued function (\entropy function") that represents uncertainty preferences. It represents non-satiation and (constant) uncertainty aversion. As a concrete functional form, we propose a one-parameter function based on Rényi's (1961) generalized entropy. We show that the parameter captures the degree of uncertainty aversion. We illustrate our preference function with a simple decision problem and relate it to other decision rules under Knightian uncertainty (maximin, maximax, Hurwicz, Laplacian expected utility, minimum regret).

Suggested Citation

  • Baumgärtner, Stefan & Engler, John-Oliver, 2018. "An axiomatic foundation of entropic preferences under Knightian uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181511, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:vfsc18:181511
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Atkinson, Anthony B., 1970. "On the measurement of inequality," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 2(3), pages 244-263, September.
    2. Chavas, Jean-Paul, 2004. "Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780121706210.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Lucas Bretschger & Karen Pittel, 2019. "Twenty Key Questions in Environmental and Resource Economics," CER-ETH Economics working paper series 19/328, CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research (CER-ETH) at ETH Zurich.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    axiomatic foundation; entropy; Knightian uncertainty; non-expected utility; preferences; Rényi-function;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General

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