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Collective defined contribution plans: Backtesting based on German capital market data 1950-2022

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  • Goecke, Oskar

Abstract

Using historical capital market data for Germany (1950-2022) we analyze and compare (individual) defined contribution (IDC-) and collective defined contribution (CDC) pension plans. To this end we define simple asset liability management rules that govern a CDC pension plan and compare these to IDC-plans with the same asset allovation. Our main result is, that the CDC pension plans allow for a significant improvement of the risk return profile compared to individual pension plans. Hereby we consider different risk measures. This empirical study affirms the theoretical results based on stochastic CDC-models.

Suggested Citation

  • Goecke, Oskar, 2022. "Collective defined contribution plans: Backtesting based on German capital market data 1950-2022," Forschung am ivwKöln 4/2022, Technische Hochschule Köln – University of Applied Sciences, Institute for Insurance Studies.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:thkivw:42022
    DOI: 10.57684/COS-987
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Chen, Damiaan H. J. & Beetsma, Roel M. W. J. & Ponds, Eduard H. M. & Romp, Ward E., 2016. "Intergenerational risk-sharing through funded pensions and public debt," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(2), pages 127-159, April.
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    3. An Chen & Motonobu Kanagawa & Fangyuan Zhang, 2021. "Intergenerational risk sharing in a Defined Contribution pension system: analysis with Bayesian optimization," Papers 2106.13644, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
    4. Cui, Jiajia & Jong, Frank De & Ponds, Eduard, 2011. "Intergenerational risk sharing within funded pension schemes," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(1), pages 1-29, January.
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    6. Hoevenaars, Roy P.M.M. & Ponds, Eduard H.M., 2008. "Valuation of intergenerational transfers in funded collective pension schemes," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 578-593, April.
    7. Guillen, Montserrat & Jorgensen, Peter Lochte & Nielsen, Jens Perch, 2006. "Return smoothing mechanisms in life and pension insurance: Path-dependent contingent claims," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 229-252, April.
    8. Hoevenaars, J. & Ponds, E.H.M., 2008. "Valuation of intergenerational transfers in collective funded pension schemes," Other publications TiSEM 2c1afa01-df29-490e-bc52-8, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G - Financial Economics
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

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