IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/ifwkwp/658.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Die Krise des deutschen Systems sozialer Sicherung: I. Die staatliche Alterssicherung

Author

Listed:
  • Glismann, Hans H.
  • Horn, Ernst-Jürgen

Abstract

Das gegenwärtig bestehende deutsche System der Rentenversicherung ist ins Gerede geraten, allerdings nur derjenige Teil, der vom Staat organisiert wird, nicht jedoch die betrieblichen und sonstigen privaten Formen der Altersvorsorge. Die Befürchtungen, daß in absehbarer Zeit zu wenige Beitragszahler für zu viele Rentenempfänger aufkommen müßten, hat zahlreiche Reaktionen hervorgerufen. Die Bundesregierung ist der Auffassung, daß die Renten sicher seien, die Befürchtungen also falsch sind. Viele Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftler sehen wohl die Gefährdung der künftigen Renten, haben aber probate Lösungsvorschläge. Einer davon lautet, die Zahl der Beitragszahler zu erhöhen- etwa durch Zuzug ausländischer Arbeitskräfte oder durch verstärkte Erwerbsbeteiligung von Frauen; so ließe sich der maximale Beitragssatz unter Beibehaltung des gegenwärtigen Systems auf durchschnittlich 25 vH der Bruttoeinkommen in den Jahren nach 2030 begrenzen und müßte nicht auf 35 vH oder mehr steigen (Börsch-Supan 1994). Diese und ähnliche Überlegungen fußen im Kern auf einer schlichten Einnahmen/Ausgaben-Rechnung, der zufolge die durchschnittlichen Einzelbeiträge zur Alterssicherung, multipliziert mit der Anzahl der Beitragsleistenden, dem Produkt aus durchschnittlichen Rentenansprüchen und Anzahl der Rentner entsprechen müssen.

Suggested Citation

  • Glismann, Hans H. & Horn, Ernst-Jürgen, 1994. "Die Krise des deutschen Systems sozialer Sicherung: I. Die staatliche Alterssicherung," Kiel Working Papers 658, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:658
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/47076/1/037448455.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barro, Robert J, 1989. "The Ricardian Approach to Budget Deficits," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 3(2), pages 37-54, Spring.
    2. Feldstein, Martin S, 1974. "Social Security, Induced Retirement, and Aggregate Capital Accumulation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(5), pages 905-926, Sept./Oct.
    3. Bernhard Felderer, 1993. "New issues in public pension economics," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 1-15, December.
    4. Bernhard Felderer, 1993. "New issues in public pension economics," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-15, December.
    5. Boss, Alfred, 1983. "Reform der Alterssicherung," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 3184, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. H. Yigit Aydede, 2007. "Social Security, Intergenerational Transfers, and Saving: New Evidence from an Emerging Country," NFI Working Papers 2007-WP-16, Indiana State University, Scott College of Business, Networks Financial Institute, revised Jul 2007.
    2. Cheng K. Wu, 1997. "New Result in Theory of Consumption: Changes in Savings and Income Growth," Macroeconomics 9706007, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Krishanu Pradhan, 2016. "Ricardian Approach to Fiscal Sustainability in India," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 10(4), pages 499-529, November.
    4. Divino, José Angelo & Orrillo, Jaime, 2017. "Failure of the Ricardian Equivalence Theory in Economies with Incomplete Markets," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 37(1), May.
    5. Ebney Ayaj Rana & Abu N. M. Wahid, 2017. "Fiscal Deficit and Economic Growth in Bangladesh," The American Economist, Sage Publications, vol. 62(1), pages 31-42, March.
    6. Arrau, Patricio & Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus, 1995. "Pensions systems and reform : country experiences and research issues," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1470, The World Bank.
    7. Jamee K. Moudud, 2010. "Strategic Competition, Dynamics, and the Role of the State," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 4241.
    8. H. Yigit Aydede, 2007. "Saving and Social Security Wealth: A Case of Turkey," NFI Working Papers 2007-WP-03, Indiana State University, Scott College of Business, Networks Financial Institute.
    9. repec:zbw:bofrdp:1989_014 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Virén, Matti, 1989. "Saving, investment and the current account : A review of recent evidence," Research Discussion Papers 14/1989, Bank of Finland.
    11. H. Yigit Aydede, 2007. "Expected Social Security Wealth Simulations and Generational Fairness of the Turkish PAYG System," NFI Working Papers 2007-WP-21, Indiana State University, Scott College of Business, Networks Financial Institute.
    12. Reiner Eichenberger & David Stadelmann, 2009. "Consequences of Debt Capitalization: Property Ownership and Debt/Tax Choice," CREMA Working Paper Series 2009-08, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA).
    13. Xinshen DIAO & Terry L. ROE & A. Erinç YELDAN, 1999. "How Fiscal Mismanagement May Impede Trade Reform: Lessons From An Intertemporal, Multi-Sector General Equilibrium Model For Turkey," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 37(1), pages 59-88, March.
    14. Jonathan Gruber & Aaron Yelowitz, 1999. "Public Health Insurance and Private Savings," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 107(6), pages 1249-1274, December.
    15. Robert Hartwig & Greg Niehaus & Joseph Qiu, 2020. "Insurance for economic losses caused by pandemics," The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 45(2), pages 134-170, September.
    16. Dean A. Worcester, 1983. "Social Security: Overview And Options," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 1(3), pages 1-8, April.
    17. Jacques Le Cacheux & Vincent Touzé, 2002. "Les modèles d'équilibre général calculable à générations imbriquées. Enjeux, méthodes et résultats," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 80(1), pages 87-113.
    18. Hany Eldemerdash & Hugh Metcalf & Sara Maioli, 2014. "Twin deficits: new evidence from a developing (oil vs. non-oil) countries’ perspective," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(3), pages 825-851, November.
    19. Pierre Villa, 2004. "Typologie et équivalence des systèmes de retraites," Working Papers 2004-09, CEPII research center.
    20. Maebayashi, Noritaka, 2018. "Is an unfunded social security system good or bad for growth? A theoretical analysis of social security systems financed by VAT," MPRA Paper 90881, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Kevin Milligan, 2005. "Life‐cycle asset accumulation and allocation in Canada," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(3), pages 1057-1106, August.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:658. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iwkiede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.