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Simulated geo-coordinates as a tool for map-based regional analysis

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  • Groß, Marcus
  • Rendtel, Ulrich
  • Schmid, Timo
  • Bömermann, Hartmut
  • Erfurth, Kerstin

Abstract

Map-based regional analysis is interested to detect areas with a large concentration of certain populations. Here kernel density estimates (KDE) offer advantages over classical choropleth maps. However, kernel density estimation needs exact geo-coordinates. In a recent paper Groß et al. (2017) have proposed a measurement error model which uses local aggregates for kernel density estimation. Their algorithm simulates "exact" geo-coordinates which reflect the information on the aggregates. In this article we suggest two extensions of this approach. First, we consider boundary constraints, which are usually ignored in the KDE framework. This concerns not only the outer limits of a municipality but also unsettled regions within a city like parks, lakes and industrial areas. Without a boundary correction standard KDEs underestimate the density in the vicinity of boundaries. Here we propose a modification of the original algorithm which uses rescaled kernel functions. Regional maps often display local percentages, for example, voters for a special party among all voters in each voting district. Here we derive a smooth representation of percentages which is based on the ratio of two densities. Again, the original algorithm is modified to cope with the estimation of a ratio of two densities. Our empirical examples refer to voting results from Berlin. It is shown that the proposed methodology reveals a lot of regional insight which is not produced by standard choropleth maps.

Suggested Citation

  • Groß, Marcus & Rendtel, Ulrich & Schmid, Timo & Bömermann, Hartmut & Erfurth, Kerstin, 2018. "Simulated geo-coordinates as a tool for map-based regional analysis," Discussion Papers 2018/3, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:fubsbe:20183
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bester, Helmut & Ouyang, Yaofu, 2018. "Optimal procurement of a credence good under limited liability," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 96-129.
    2. Ulrich Rendtel & Milo Ruhanen, 2018. "Die Konstruktion von Dienstleistungskarten mit Open Data am Beispiel des lokalen Bedarfs an Kinderbetreuung in Berlin [The construction of service maps with open data: the case of local need for ch," AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Springer;Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft - German Statistical Society, vol. 12(3), pages 271-284, December.
    3. Marcus Groß & Ulrich Rendtel & Timo Schmid & Sebastian Schmon & Nikos Tzavidis, 2017. "Estimating the density of ethnic minorities and aged people in Berlin: multivariate kernel density estimation applied to sensitive georeferenced administrative data protected via measurement error," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 180(1), pages 161-183, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Keywords

    Regional Analysis; Choropleths; Kernel Density Estimation; Geo-Coordinates; Open data;
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