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Status Quo und Perspektiven der Elektromobilität in Deutschland

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  • Gnann, Till
  • Plötz, Patrick

Abstract

Elektromobilität bietet große Potenziale zur Reduktion der verkehrsbedingten Treibhausgasemissionen und Erhöhung der Versorgungssicherheit, bedeutet aber auch Veränderungen in der Automobilbranche. In der Vielzahl der Entwicklungen und Ereignisse gehen häufig der Blick auf die wesentlichen Ergebnisse und die Perspektive für zentrale Entwicklungen verloren. Die vorliegende Studie versucht in diesem Umfeld Orientierung zu bieten und die zentralen Punkte des Absatzmarktes, der politischen Rahmenbedingungen und zukünftiger Nutzer darstellen. Den Ausgangspunkt bilden der aktuelle deutsche PKW-Markt und die Entwicklungen der letzten Jahre. Die nahe Zukunft der Elektromobilität in Deutschland wird mittels der Ankündigung großer Hersteller, politischer Rahmenbedingungen und vorliegenden Ergebnisse zu den möglichen Erstkäufern charakterisiert. Anhand von Trends lassen sich langfristige Entwicklungen skizzieren. Es lässt sich feststellen, dass heute kaum Elektrofahrzeuge in Deutschland zu-gelassen sind, was teilweise daran liegt, dass kaum Fahrzeuge käuflich erwerbbar sind. Mittlerweile haben einige Fahrzeughersteller Elektromobile in Aussicht gestellt, jedoch möchte die Politik einen Kauf bislang nicht direkt subventionieren, um Preisdifferenzen auszugleichen und den Markt anzukurbeln. Stattdessen setzt die Politik auf indirekte und vornehmlich non-monetäre Instrumente. In Hinblick auf eine mögliche Leitanbieterschaft scheint Deutschland insbesondere im Bereich der Elektromotoren gut aufgestellt, bei Leistungselektronik und Fahrzeugen ist man auf Augenhöhe mit zahlreichen weiteren Konkurrenten, während im Batteriebereich vor allem asiatische und nordamerikanische Hersteller den deutschen voraus sind.

Suggested Citation

  • Gnann, Till & Plötz, Patrick, 2011. "Status Quo und Perspektiven der Elektromobilität in Deutschland," Working Papers "Sustainability and Innovation" S14/2011, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:fisisi:s142011
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kley, Fabian & Wietschel, Martin & Dallinger, David, 2010. "Evaluation of European electric vehicle support schemes," Working Papers "Sustainability and Innovation" S7/2010, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI).
    2. Ozaki, Ritsuko & Sevastyanova, Katerina, 2011. "Going hybrid: An analysis of consumer purchase motivations," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 2217-2227, May.
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