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Bankruptcies and aggregate economic fluctuations

Author

Listed:
  • Starck, Christian
  • Virén, Matti

Abstract

This paper explores the determinants of aggregate economic fluctuations in Finland. The analysis makes use of aggregate monthly time series for some financial and non-financial variables. covering the period 1922-1990. In particular, we scrutinize the role of bankruptcies in the propagation mechanism of aggregate economic shocks. In analyzing the role of bankruptcies we also try to find out whether money or credit helps more in predicting the movements in corporate failures and overall economic activity. The empirical analyses indicate that bankruptcies constitute an important ingredient as regards the determination of other variables. It also tuI1J.s out that overall liquidity and firm failures are c10sely related. In comparing money and credit the former appears to be much more important as regards the .propagation mechanism. We also find that the basic relationships are strikingly stable over long periods. Finally, we find some evidence of non-linearities' in the financial and non-financial time series.

Suggested Citation

  • Starck, Christian & Virén, Matti, 1992. "Bankruptcies and aggregate economic fluctuations," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 25/1992, Bank of Finland.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bofrdp:rdp1992_025
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    7. Stiglitz, Joseph E & Weiss, Andrew, 1981. "Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(3), pages 393-410, June.
    8. Edward Offenbacher & Richard D. Porter & Georg Rich, 1983. "Empirical comparisons of credit and monetary aggregates using vector autoregressive methods," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 69(Nov), pages 16-29.
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    11. repec:bla:scandj:v:94:y:1992:i:2:p:215-27 is not listed on IDEAS
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