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Money Demand, PPP and Macroeconomic Dynamics in a Small Developing Economy

  • José R Sánchez-Fung

    ()

This paper aims at improving our understanding of macro-monetary phenomena in developing countries. Specifically, it analyses a six-variable model of the Dominican Republic by implementing the cointegrating VAR framework, using annual data for the period 1950-1999. The inquiry is able to identify money demand and PPP cointegrating relationships that are economically and statistically sensible, displaying half-life persistence profiles of approximately one and three years, respectively. Additionally, generalised impulse response functions observed after shocking the money demand relation suggest that there is scope for activist monetary policy, while those derived from perturbations to PPP show that real exchange rate depreciations generate both contractionary and inflationary developments.

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File URL: ftp://ftp.ukc.ac.uk/pub/ejr/RePEc/ukc/ukcedp/0015.pdf
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Paper provided by School of Economics, University of Kent in its series Studies in Economics with number 0015.

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Date of creation: Dec 2000
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Handle: RePEc:ukc:ukcedp:0015
Contact details of provider: Postal: School of Economics, University of Kent, Canterbury, Kent, CT2 7NP
Phone: +44 (0)1227 827497
Web page: http://www.kent.ac.uk/economics/

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  18. Sims, Christopher A., 1992. "Interpreting the macroeconomic time series facts : The effects of monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 975-1000, June.
  19. Ken Froot & Kenneth Rogoff, . "Perspectives on PPP and Long-Run Real Exchange Rates," Working Paper 32027, Harvard University OpenScholar.
  20. Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum & Charles L. Evans, 1997. "Monetary policy shocks: what have we learned and to what end?," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues WP-97-18, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
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  22. Jose Sanchez-Fung, 1999. "Efficiency of the black market for foreign exchange and PPP: the case of the Dominican Republic," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(3), pages 173-176.
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  25. Pesaran, M.H. & Shin, Y., 1993. "Cointegration and Speed of Convergence to Equilibrium," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9311, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  26. Sebastian Edwards & Miguel A. Savastano, 1999. "Exchange Rates in Emerging Economies: What Do We Know? What Do We Need to Know?," NBER Working Papers 7228, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  27. Rudebusch, G.D., 1996. "Do Measures of Monetary Policy in a VAR Make Sense?," Papers 269, Banca Italia - Servizio di Studi.
  28. Kamin, Steve B. & Rogers, John H., 2000. "Output and the real exchange rate in developing countries: an application to Mexico," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 85-109, February.
  29. Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1976. "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(6), pages 1161-76, December.
  30. Alan Carruth & Jose Roberto Sanchez-Fung, 1997. "Money Demand in the Dominican Republic," Studies in Economics 9709, School of Economics, University of Kent.
  31. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Lai, Kon S., 2000. "On the purchasing power parity puzzle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 321-330, December.
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  34. M. Hashem Pesaran & Ron P. Smith, 1998. "Structural Analysis of Cointegrating VARs," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(5), pages 471-505, December.
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