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La demanda de transporte de mercancías en España. Factores determinantes y un análisis de la evolución de los flujos de tráfico en el ámbito de la Unión Europea

  • Juan Carlos Martín Hernández y
  • Concepción Román García
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    Teniendo como referente la creciente importancia que ha alcanzado en nuestros días el transporte de mercancías, y la necesidad de un conocimiento detallado del comportamiento de su demanda, el trabajo se centra en la exploración de tres aspectos básicos: en primer lugar, se estudian los factores, directos e indirectos, cjue afectan a la demanda de transporte de mercancías, en segundo lugar, se ofrece una panorámica relativa a la situación y tendencias del sector de transporte de mercancías en nuestro país, y después se realiza una predicción para el año 2005 de los flujos de transporte terrestre (carretera y mercancías) entre los países integrantes de la Unión Europea. Las conclusiones obtenidas presentan un incretnento anual acumulativo del 5% en el transporte por carretera y un descenso del 2% en el caso del ferrocarril. De cualquier forma debe tenerse en cuenta que la amplia gama de factores que afectan a la demcuula son difícilmente medióles, por lo que la interpretación de las predicciones ha de estar sujeta al entorno proporcionado por los datos.

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    File URL: http://www2.uah.es/iaes/publicaciones/DT_04_99.pdf
    File Function: First version, 1999
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    Paper provided by Instituto Universitario de Análisis Económico y Social in its series Working Papers with number 04/99.

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    Length: 52 pages
    Date of creation: Jul 1999
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:uae:wpaper:0499
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    1. Friedlaender, Ann F & Spady, Richard H, 1980. "A Derived Demand Function for Freight Transportation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 62(3), pages 432-41, August.
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