U.S. and U.K. Inflation: Evidence on Structural Change in the Order of Integration
We employ smooth transition models to test the null hypothesis of a unit root in time series on U.S. and U.K. monthly inflation beginning in 1957. Under the alternative hypothesis the test allows for structural change from level-stationarity to difference stationarity. For both countries the hypothesis of a unit root is rejected and it is estimated that rapid structural change began in 1970:6 in U.K. inflation and 1973:6 in U.S. inflation.
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- Robert B. Barsky, 1986.
"The Fisher Hypothesis and the Forecastability and Persistence of Inflation,"
NBER Working Papers
1927, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Barsky, Robert B., 1987. "The Fisher hypothesis and the forecastability and persistence of inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 3-24, January.
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