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Estimates of gross domestic product in wildfire-affected areas during the 2023 and 2024 wildfire seasons

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  • Matthew Brown
  • Mark Brown

Abstract

This article reports experimental estimates of the economic activity at risk in wildfire-affected areas during the 2023 season and in 2024 with a focus on Jasper, Alberta. The paper uses a business-level dataset, burned-area perimeters and evacuation data to determine business operating locations that were likely affected by wildfires from May to September 2023, providing a geographic overview of estimated business sector output that might have been affected. Focused estimates for the regions of Yellowknife, Kelowna, Halifax, Edson, and Jasper are presented. While gross domestic product at risk of being affected by the 2023 wildfire season appears low when measured at the national level, a localized analysis reveals that the effects on local economies are much more pronounced, underscoring the importance of geographic scale in interpreting the economic impact of natural disasters.

Suggested Citation

  • Matthew Brown & Mark Brown, 2025. "Estimates of gross domestic product in wildfire-affected areas during the 2023 and 2024 wildfire seasons," Economic and Social Reports 202500600004e, Statistics Canada, Analytical Studies and Modelling Branch.
    • Handle: RePEc:stc:stcp8e:202500600004e
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.25318/36280001202500600004-eng
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Piyush Jain & Quinn E. Barber & Stephen W. Taylor & Ellen Whitman & Dante Castellanos Acuna & Yan Boulanger & Raphaël D. Chavardès & Jack Chen & Peter Englefield & Mike Flannigan & Martin P. Girardin , 2024. "Drivers and Impacts of the Record-Breaking 2023 Wildfire Season in Canada," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-14, December.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • M21 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Economics - - - Business Economics

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