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Reforms’ Effects on Chinese stock markets world integration - An Empirical analysis with t-DCCGARCH model

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Listed:
  • Yang Mestre-Zhou

    (MRE, Université de Montpellier)

Abstract

In recent years the Chinese government has instituted a series of reforms to restructure and open the Chinese financial system. This paper studies the dynamic correlations and sensitivities between Chinese mainland stock market and five major stock markets with the multivariate t-DCC-GARCH model. We also consider a Normal-DCC model and results show that t-DCC improves slightly the results. The analysis of reforms’ effects on dynamic correlations and sensitivities prove that the Chinese mainland market is more closely tied to Asian stock markets over time, followed by the United States, and with relatively lower correlations with Europe and the United Kingdom. We highlight that the implementation of reforms changes theirs correlations and sensitivities over time. Since the reforms, the correlation between China and international stock markets has been reinforced.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang Mestre-Zhou, 2019. "Reforms’ Effects on Chinese stock markets world integration - An Empirical analysis with t-DCCGARCH model," Cahiers de recherche 19-06, Departement d'économique de l'École de gestion à l'Université de Sherbrooke.
    • Handle: RePEc:shr:wpaper:19-06
    as

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    File URL: http://gredi.recherche.usherbrooke.ca/wpapers/GREDI-1906.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    DCC-GARCH; bivariate t distribution; Chinese Stock Market; Dynamic Correlation; Timevarying sensitivity; Chinese reforms;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance

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