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Evaluating Global Warming Potentials as Historical Temperature Proxies: an application of ACC2 Inverse Calculation

Author

Listed:
  • Katsumasa Tanaka
  • Richard S.J. Tol

    (Economic and Social Research Institute, Dublin)

  • Dmitry Rokityanskiy
  • Brian C. O'Neill
  • Michael Obersteiner

Abstract

Global Warming Potentials (GWPs) are evaluated as proxies of the historical temperature by applying them to convert historical CH4 and N2O emissions to equivalent CO2 emissions. Our GWP analysis is based on the historical Earth system evolution obtained from the inverse calculation for the Aggregated Carbon Cycle, Atmospheric Cycle, and Climate Model (ACC2). Indices higher than the Kyoto GWPs are required to reproduce the historical temperature. The GWP for N2O, in particular, does not approximate the historical temperature with any time horizon because the GWP definition and calculations assume a background system different from the ACC2 inversion results. In addition, indices have to be progressively updated upon the acquisition of new measurements and/or the change in our understanding on the Earth system processes.

Suggested Citation

  • Katsumasa Tanaka & Richard S.J. Tol & Dmitry Rokityanskiy & Brian C. O'Neill & Michael Obersteiner, 2006. "Evaluating Global Warming Potentials as Historical Temperature Proxies: an application of ACC2 Inverse Calculation," Working Papers FNU-118, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Sep 2006.
    • Handle: RePEc:sgc:wpaper:118
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    File URL: http://www.fnu.zmaw.de/fileadmin/fnu-files/publication/working-papers/WP-FNU118.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Christine Schleupner & P. Michael Link, 2007. "Potential impacts on important bird habitats in Eiderstedt (Schleswig-Holstein) caused by agricultural land use changes," Working Papers FNU-138, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Jun 2007.
    2. P. Michael Link & Christine Schleupner, 2007. "Agricultural land use changes in Eiderstedt," Working Papers FNU-137, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Jun 2007.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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