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Household Volatility, Household Debt and the Great Moderation

Author

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  • Marina Pavan

    (The Geary Institute, University College Dublin)

  • Matteo Iacoviello

    (Boston College)

Abstract

productivity is lower, as in the data. Quantitatively, larger idiosyncratic shocks can explain: (1) 5 percent of the reduction in total GDP volatility since the mid 1980s; (2) more than one half of the reduction in the volatility of household investment; (3) the sharp decline in the correlation between household debt and economic activity.

Suggested Citation

  • Marina Pavan & Matteo Iacoviello, 2008. "Household Volatility, Household Debt and the Great Moderation," 2008 Meeting Papers 903, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  • Handle: RePEc:red:sed008:903
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David A. Wise, 2001. "Introduction to "Aging Issues in the United States and Japan"," NBER Chapters,in: Aging Issues in the United States and Japan, pages 1-24 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Hendricks, Lutz, 2007. "How important is discount rate heterogeneity for wealth inequality?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(9), pages 3042-3068, September.
    3. Jonas D. M. Fisher & Martin Gervais, 2007. "First-time home buyers and residential investment volatility," Working Paper Series WP-07-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    4. Silos, Pedro, 2007. "Housing, portfolio choice and the macroeconomy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(8), pages 2774-2801, August.
    5. Dirk Krueger & Fabrizio Perri, 2006. "Does Income Inequality Lead to Consumption Inequality? Evidence and Theory -super-1," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 73(1), pages 163-193.
    6. Per Krusell & Anthony A. Smith & Jr., 1998. "Income and Wealth Heterogeneity in the Macroeconomy," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 106(5), pages 867-896, October.
    7. Seiritsu Ogura & Toshiaki Tachibanaki & David A. Wise, 2001. "Aging Issues in the United States and Japan," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number ogur01-1, June.
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