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The Dynamic Impact of FX Interventions on Financial Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Menkhoff, Lukas

    (HU Berlin and DIW Berlin)

  • Rieth, Malte

    (DIW Berlin)

  • Stöhr, Tobias

    (Kiel Institute for the World Economy)

Abstract

Evidence on the effectiveness of FX interventions is either limited to short horizons or hampered by debatable identification. We address these limitations by identifying a structural vector autoregressive model for the daily frequency with an external instrument. Applying this approach to the most important, freely floating currencies, we find that FX intervention shocks significantly affect exchange rates and that this impact persists for months. We show for Japan and the US that interest rates tend to fall in response to sales of the domestic currency, whereas stock prices of large (exporting) firms increase after devaluation of the domestic currency.

Suggested Citation

  • Menkhoff, Lukas & Rieth, Malte & Stöhr, Tobias, 2019. "The Dynamic Impact of FX Interventions on Financial Markets," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 205, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    • Handle: RePEc:rco:dpaper:205
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    Cited by:

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    2. Alain Naef & Jacob P. Weber, 2021. "Regional How Powerful is Unannounced, Sterilized Foreign Exchange Intervention?," Working papers 834, Banque de France.
    3. Marcel Fratzscher & Tobias Heidland & Lukas Menkhoff & Lucio Sarno & Maik Schmeling, 2023. "Foreign Exchange Intervention: A New Database," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(4), pages 852-884, December.
    4. Joseph Paul Chunga & Ping YU, 2024. "The impact of external shocks on volatility persistence and market efficiency of the foreign exchange rate regime: evidence from Malawi," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-14, December.
    5. Gardini, Laura & Radi, Davide & Schmitt, Noemi & Sushko, Iryna & Westerhoff, Frank, 2022. "Currency manipulation and currency wars: Analyzing the dynamics of competitive central bank interventions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    6. Alain Naef & Jacob P. Weber, 2023. "How Powerful Is Unannounced, Sterilized Foreign Exchange Intervention?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(5), pages 1307-1319, August.
    7. Arango-Lozano, Lucía & Menkhoff, Lukas & Rodríguez-Novoa, Daniela & Villamizar-Villegas, Mauricio, 2024. "The effectiveness of FX interventions: A meta-analysis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    8. Fatum, Rasmus & Yamamoto, Yohei & Chen, Binwei, 2025. "The trend effect of foreign exchange intervention," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    9. Naef, Alain, 2024. "Blowing against the Wind? a narrative approach to central Bank foreign exchange intervention," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    10. Filardo, Andrew & Gelos, Gaston & McGregor, Thomas, 2022. "Exchange-Rate Swings and Foreign Currency Intervention," CEPR Discussion Papers 17570, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Freddy A. Pinzón-Puerto & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2023. "Do Actions Speak Louder than Words? A Foreign Exchange Intervention Analysis," Borradores de Economia 1223, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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