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Confidence in public institutions and the run up to the October 2019 uprising in Lebanon


  • Ali Fakih

    () (Lebanese American University)

  • Paul Makdissi

    () (University of Ottawa)

  • Walid Marrouch

    () (University of Ottawa)

  • Rami V. Tabri

    () (UUniversity of Sydney)

  • Myra Yazbeck

    () (University of Ottawa and School of Economics, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia)


This paper uses the 2013 World Value Survey, as well as the 2016 and 2018 waves of the Arab Barometer, to analyze the dynamics of trust in public institutions in Lebanon. It finds strong evidence that confidence in most public institutions has decreased between 2013 and 2016. The evidence of this decrease is robust to the numerical scale assigned to the different ordinal categories of trust and to assumptions on the missing values generating process. This finding highlights the importance for policymakers in developing countries to survey the perceptions and political attitude of their constituents in order to improve the performance of public institutions.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali Fakih & Paul Makdissi & Walid Marrouch & Rami V. Tabri & Myra Yazbeck, 2020. "Confidence in public institutions and the run up to the October 2019 uprising in Lebanon," Discussion Papers Series 629, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
  • Handle: RePEc:qld:uq2004:629

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item


    Confidence; institutions; uprising; ordinal variable;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • P16 - Economic Systems - - Capitalist Systems - - - Political Economy of Capitalism
    • P40 - Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - General

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