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Efficient Industrial Energy Use: The First Step in Transitioning Saudi Arabia’s Energy Mix

Author

Listed:
  • Walid Matar
  • Axel Pierru
  • Frederic Murphy
  • David Wogan
  • Bertrand Rioux

    (King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center)

Abstract

External observers worry about whether Saudi domestic consumption of oil will crowd out exports. This is based on simple extrapolations which suggest that in a little more than 20 years Saudi Arabia may become a net importer of hydrocarbon fuels. However, our research does not support this. Based on the “baseline scenario” macroeconomic assumptions in Oxford Economics’ global economic and industry models, we project Saudi Arabia’s energy balances until 2032 using the KAPSARC Energy Model (KEM).

Suggested Citation

  • Walid Matar & Axel Pierru & Frederic Murphy & David Wogan & Bertrand Rioux, 2015. "Efficient Industrial Energy Use: The First Step in Transitioning Saudi Arabia’s Energy Mix," Discussion Papers ks-1519-dp013a, King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center.
    • Handle: RePEc:prc:dpaper:ks-1519-dp013a
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    File URL: https://www.kapsarc.org/research/publications/efficient-industrial-energy-use-the-first-step-in-transitioning-saudi-arabias-energy-mix/
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    2. Matar, Walid & Anwer, Murad, 2017. "Jointly reforming the prices of industrial fuels and residential electricity in Saudi Arabia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 747-756.
    3. Octavio Escobar, Ulises Neri, Stephan Silvestre, 2020. "Energy policy of fossil fuel–producing countries: does global energy transition matter?," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 17(1), pages 5-30, June.
    4. Soummane, Salaheddine & Ghersi, Frédéric & Lefèvre, Julien, 2019. "Macroeconomic pathways of the Saudi economy: The challenge of global mitigation action versus the opportunity of national energy reforms," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 263-282.
    5. Blazquez, Jorge & Galeotti, Marzio & Manzano, Baltasar & Pierru, Axel & Pradhan, Shreekar, 2021. "Effects of Saudi Arabia’s economic reforms: Insights from a DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 145-169.
    6. Mohamed Hssan Hassan Abdelhafez & Mabrouk Touahmia & Emad Noaime & Ghazy Abdullah Albaqawy & Khaled Elkhayat & Belkacem Achour & Mustapha Boukendakdji, 2021. "Integrating Solar Photovoltaics in Residential Buildings: Towards Zero Energy Buildings in Hail City, KSA," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-19, February.
    7. Wogan, David & Murphy, Frederic & Pierru, Axel, 2019. "The costs and gains of policy options for coordinating electricity generation in the Gulf Cooperation Council," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 452-463.
    8. Frederic Murphy & Axel Pierru & Yves Smeers, 2016. "A Tutorial on Building Policy Models as Mixed-Complementarity Problems," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 46(6), pages 465-481, December.
    9. Mohammed Siddig H. Mohammed & Abdulsalam Alhawsawi & Abdelfattah Y. Soliman, 2020. "An Integrated Approach to the Realization of Saudi Arabia’s Energy Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, December.
    10. Barakat, Shimaa & Elkhouly, Heba I. & Al Muflih, Ali & Harraz, Nermine, 2024. "Hybrid renewable hydrogen systems in Saudi Arabia: A techno-economic evaluation for three diverse locations," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(PB).
    11. S. Oliveira, Fernando & William-Rioux, Bertrand & Pierru, Axel, 2023. "Capacity expansion in liberalized electricity markets with locational pricing and renewable energy investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    12. Rioux, Bertrand & Shabaneh, Rami & Griffiths, Steven, 2021. "An economic analysis of gas pipeline trade cooperation in the GCC," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    13. Poudineh, Rahmatallah & Sen, Anupama & Fattouh, Bassam, 2020. "An integrated approach to electricity sector reforms in the resource rich economies of the MENA," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    14. Frédéric Gonand, Fakhri J. Hasanov, and Lester C. Hunt, 2019. "Estimating the Impact of Energy Price Reform on Saudi Arabian Intergenerational Welfare using the MEGIR-SA Model," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
    15. Alshammari, Yousef M., 2021. "Scenario analysis for energy transition in the chemical industry: An industrial case study in Saudi Arabia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    16. Aldubyan, Mohammad & Gasim, Anwar, 2021. "Energy price reform in Saudi Arabia: Modeling the economic and environmental impacts and understanding the demand response," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 148(PB).
    17. Durand-Lasserve, Olivier & Almutairi, Hossa & Aljarboua, Abdullah & Pierru, Axel & Pradhan, Shreekar & Murphy, Frederic, 2023. "Hard-linking a top-down economic model with a bottom-up energy system for an oil-exporting country with price controls," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    18. Mohammad AlHashmi & Gyan Chhipi-Shrestha & Kh Md. Nahiduzzaman & Kasun Hewage & Rehan Sadiq, 2021. "Framework for Developing a Low-Carbon Energy Demand in Residential Buildings Using Community-Government Partnership: An Application in Saudi Arabia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-36, August.
    19. Khalifa, Ahmed & Caporin, Massimiliano & Di Fonzo, Tommaso, 2019. "Scenario-based forecast for the electricity demand in Qatar and the role of energy efficiency improvements," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 155-164.
    20. Muhammad Muhitur Rahman & Mohammad Shahedur Rahman & Saidur R. Chowdhury & Alaeldeen Elhaj & Shaikh Abdur Razzak & Syed Abu Shoaib & Md Kamrul Islam & Mohammed Monirul Islam & Sayeed Rushd & Syed Masi, 2022. "Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the Industrial Processes and Product Use Sector of Saudi Arabia—An Emerging Challenge," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-18, June.
    21. Rioux, Bertrand & Galkin, Philipp & Murphy, Frederic & Feijoo, Felipe & Pierru, Axel & Malov, Artem & Li, Yan & Wu, Kang, 2019. "The economic impact of price controls on China's natural gas supply chain," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 394-410.
    22. Lopez-Ruiz, Hector G. & Blazquez, Jorge & Vittorio, Michele, 2020. "Assessing residential solar rooftop potential in Saudi Arabia using nighttime satellite images: A study for the city of Riyadh," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).

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