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Projection des taux de mortalité par âges pour la population algérienne
[Forecasting The Age Specific Mortality Rates For The Algerian Population]

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  • Flici, Farrid

Abstract

Life annuities reserving as well as populations projections require projecting the age-specific mortality rates into the future. In Algeria, mortality forecasts are still based on the United Nations methodology, which remains highly recommended when national data are not available or enough reliable.Despite some shortcomings, Algerian national life tables are available starting from 1977. Le aim of this paper is to provides mortality projections for the Algerian population until 2050, based on civil registration data, and by using the Lee-Carter model.

Suggested Citation

  • Flici, Farrid, 2016. "Projection des taux de mortalité par âges pour la population algérienne [Forecasting The Age Specific Mortality Rates For The Algerian Population]," MPRA Paper 98784, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2016.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:98784
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Taux de mortalité; projection; Lee-Carter; ajustement; Algérie.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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