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Were Canadian Exports to the U.S. Curtailed by the Post-9/11 Thickening of the U.S. Border?

Author

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  • Grady, Patrick

Abstract

The paper examines the data for Canadian exports to the United States that have been cited as prima facie evidence of a "thickening of the border." It estimates that Canadian exports of goods, excluding energy and forestry products, to the United States have been 12.5 per cent lower than would have been expected based on estimated relationships and exports of services 8 per cent lower. These estimates suggest that the boost to Canadian exports resulting from the FTA/NAFTA has been substantially eroded.

Suggested Citation

  • Grady, Patrick, 2009. "Were Canadian Exports to the U.S. Curtailed by the Post-9/11 Thickening of the U.S. Border?," MPRA Paper 21047, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:21047
    as

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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/21047/1/MPRA_paper_21047.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Grady, Patrick & Macmillan, Kathleen, 1998. "Why Is Interprovincial Trade Down and International Trade Up?," MPRA Paper 8710, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Marcel Mérette & Patrick Georges & Qi Zhang, 2011. "Foreign Direct Investment and Border Security Issues-- A Multi-Country, Multi-Sector Computable General Equilibrium Framework," EcoMod2011 3044, EcoMod.
    2. Steven Globerman & Paul Storer, 2009. "Border Security and Canadian Exports to the United States: Evidence and Policy Implications," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 35(2), pages 171-186, June.
    3. Fox, Alan & Londono-Kent, Pilar, 2016. "Border Crossing for Trucks Twenty Three Years after NAFTA," Conference papers 332783, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    4. Georges, Patrick & Mérette, Marcel, 2012. "Toward a North American Security Perimeter? Assessing the trade, FDI, and welfare impacts of liberalizing 9/11 security measures," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2514-2526.
    5. Grady, Patrick, 2009. "A More Open and Secure Border for Trade, Investment and People," MPRA Paper 17240, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Patrick Georges & Marcel Mérette & Qi Zhang, 2012. "Toward a North American Security Perimeter? Assessing the Trade and FDI Impacts of Liberalizing 9/11 Security Measures," Working Papers 1204E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
    7. Patrick Georges, 2017. "Canada’s Trade Policy Options under Donald Trump: NAFTA’s rules of origin, Canada-U.S. security perimeter, and Canada’s geographical trade diversification opportunities," Working Papers 1707E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
    8. Smith, Matthew J. & Ray, Sayan Basu & Raymond, Aaron & Sienna, Micah & Lilly, Meredith B., 2018. "Long-term lessons on the effects of post-9/11 border thickening on cross-border trade between Canada and the United States: A systematic review," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 198-207.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Canadian Exports; Canada-U.S. Border; Post 9/11 Security; Free Trade Agreement; North American Free Trade Agreement;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F53 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Agreements and Observance; International Organizations

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