IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/19369.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Un Modelo SARIMA para Predecir la Tasa de Desempleo de Chile
[A model SARIMA to predict chilean unemployment]

Author

Listed:
  • Idrovo Aguirre, Byron
  • Contreras, Javier

Abstract

This paper it proposes a model SARIMA to predict chilean unemployment

Suggested Citation

  • Idrovo Aguirre, Byron & Contreras, Javier, 2009. "Un Modelo SARIMA para Predecir la Tasa de Desempleo de Chile [A model SARIMA to predict chilean unemployment]," MPRA Paper 19369, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Sep 2009.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:19369
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/19369/1/MPRA_paper_19369.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rómulo A. Chumacero & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2005. "General Equilibrium Models: An Overview," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Rómulo A. Chumacero & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (S (ed.),General Equilibrium Models for the Chilean Economy, edition 1, volume 9, chapter 1, pages 001-027, Central Bank of Chile.
    2. Rómulo Chumacero & Jorge Quiroz, 1996. "La Tasa Natural de Crecimiento de la Economía Chilena: 1985-1996," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 33(100), pages 453-472.
    3. Christian Johnson, 2001. "Un Modelo de Switching para el Crecimiento en Chile," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 38(115), pages 291-319.
    4. Valderio A. Reisen, 1994. "ESTIMATION OF THE FRACTIONAL DIFFERENCE PARAMETER IN THE ARIMA(p, d, q) MODEL USING THE SMOOTHED PERIODOGRAM," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(3), pages 335-350, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Erhard Reschenhofer & Manveer K. Mangat, 2021. "Fast computation and practical use of amplitudes at non-Fourier frequencies," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 1755-1773, September.
    2. Ladislav KRISTOUFEK & Petra LUNACKOVA, 2013. "Long-term Memory in Electricity Prices: Czech Market Evidence," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 63(5), pages 407-424, November.
    3. Idrovo Aguirre, Byron, 2007. "Los Ciclos del Mercado Inmobiliario y su Relación con los Ciclos de la Economía [Housing Market Fluctuations and the Economic Cycles]," MPRA Paper 19365, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 24 Sep 2007.
    4. João Sousa Andrade & António Portugal Duarte, 2015. "Optimum Currency Areas, Real and Nominal Convergence in the European Union," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 42, pages 8-29, December.
    5. David McMillan & Alan Speight, 2006. "Heterogeneous information flows and intra-day volatility dynamics: evidence from the UK FTSE-100 stock index futures market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(13), pages 959-972.
    6. Rómulo A. Chumacero, 2005. "A Toolkit for Analyzing Alternative Policies in the Chilean Economy," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Rómulo A. Chumacero & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (S (ed.),General Equilibrium Models for the Chilean Economy, edition 1, volume 9, chapter 8, pages 261-302, Central Bank of Chile.
    7. Arend, Mario & Norambuena, Vivian, 2005. "Análisis para Chile del efecto de un shock adverso de términos de intercambio sobre el tipo de cambio y la cuenta corriente [Analysis of the Effects of a Negative Terms-of-Trade Shock over the Real," MPRA Paper 27175, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. David G. McMillan, 2009. "Are Uk Share Prices Too High? Fundamental Value Or New Era," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(1), pages 1-20, January.
    9. Manveer Kaur Mangat & Erhard Reschenhofer, 2020. "Frequency-Domain Evidence for Climate Change," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-15, July.
    10. Luis E Arango & Luz Adriana Flórez & Angélica M Arosemena, 2005. "El Tramo Corto de la Estructura a Plazo como Predictor de Expectativas de la Actividad Económica en Colombia," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 42(125), pages 79-101.
    11. João Sousa Andrade & António Portugal Duarte, 2015. "Optimum Currency Areas, Real and Nominal Convergence in the European Union," Notas Econ micas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 42, pages 8-29, December.
    12. Kunal Saha & Vinodh Madhavan & Chandrashekhar G. R. & David McMillan, 2020. "Pitfalls in long memory research," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1733280-173, January.
    13. Souza, Leonardo R. & Smith, Jeremy, 2002. "Bias in the memory parameter for different sampling rates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 299-313.
    14. Dierk Herzer, 2005. "Does Trade Increase Total Factor Productivity: Cointegration Evidence for Chile," Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers 115, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research.
    15. Chareka, Patrick & Matarise, Florance & Turner, Rolf, 2006. "A test for additive outliers applicable to long-memory time series," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 595-621, April.
    16. Rodrigo Caputo & Felipe Liendo & Juan Pablo Medina, 2006. "New Keynesian Models For Chile During The Inflation Targeting Regime: A Structural Approach," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 9(3), pages 73-95, December.
    17. Rómulo A. Chumacero & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2005. "General Equilibrium Models: An Overview," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Rómulo A. Chumacero & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (S (ed.),General Equilibrium Models for the Chilean Economy, edition 1, volume 9, chapter 1, pages 001-027, Central Bank of Chile.
    18. Rómulo Chumacero Escudero, 2000. "Se busca una raíz unitaria: evidencia para Chile," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 27(1 Year 20), pages 55-68, June.
    19. Zhang, Zengkai & Zhang, Zhongxiang, 2017. "Intermediate input linkage and carbon leakage," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(6), pages 725-746, December.
    20. Yixun Xing & Wayne A. Woodward, 2021. "R-Squared-Bootstrapping for Gegenbauer-Type Long Memory," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(2), pages 773-790, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tasa de desempleo; Modelo SARIMA; Estacionalidad.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J6 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:19369. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.