IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/osf/socarx/q58xc_v1.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Evidence analysis of tourism and geographic location correlation with syphilis incidence

Author

Listed:
  • Santos, Joao Pedro Barbosa
  • França, Luis Claudio Teixeira
  • Lima, Brenda L.
  • Reis, Renato B.
  • Spínola, Carolina
  • Martins, Joberto S. B. Prof. Dr.

    (Salvador University - UNIFACS)

Abstract

Tourism is a valuable source of revenue for countries and communities that contributes to their economic growth. Despite these advantages, tourist travel flow can have unexpected effects, such as spreading diseases, like sexually transmitted infections (STIs), that affect public health. However, identifying possible correlations between tourism activities in regions and disease incidence is a relevant research issue that has not yet been extensively explored. According to the World Health Organization, syphilis is a worldwide STI with an estimated impact of 8 million adults between 15 and 49 years old in 2022. This paper investigates and analyses evidence concerning the correlation between tourism activities and geographical location with syphilis incidence. The correlation analysis uses a machine learning algorithm to cluster the governmental syphilis notification database of Bahia state in Brazil between 2010 and 2019. Evidence analysis suggests correlations between tourism activities in coastal tourism municipalities and the incidence of syphilis. Identified evidence of a correlation allows proactive preventive actions and positively impacts the municipality's public health sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Santos, Joao Pedro Barbosa & França, Luis Claudio Teixeira & Lima, Brenda L. & Reis, Renato B. & Spínola, Carolina & Martins, Joberto S. B. Prof. Dr., 2025. "Evidence analysis of tourism and geographic location correlation with syphilis incidence," SocArXiv q58xc_v1, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:q58xc_v1
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/q58xc_v1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://osf.io/download/687ba2295f34ce525752c221/
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.31219/osf.io/q58xc_v1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nisar Ahmad & Angeliki N. Menegaki & Saeed Al‐Muharrami, 2020. "Systematic Literature Review Of Tourism Growth Nexus: An Overview Of The Literature And A Content Analysis Of 100 Most Influential Papers," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(5), pages 1068-1110, December.
    2. Juan Gabriel Brida & Isabel Cortes-Jimenez & Manuela Pulina, 2016. "Has the tourism-led growth hypothesis been validated? A literature review," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(5), pages 394-430, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Roberto Balado-Naves & David Boto-García & José Francisco Baños-Pino, 2024. "A multisector growth model for testing the Tourism-Led Growth versus the Beach Disease hypotheses," Efficiency Series Papers 2024/01, University of Oviedo, Department of Economics, Oviedo Efficiency Group (OEG).
    2. Pablo Juan Cárdenas-García & Juan Gabriel Brida & Verónica Segarra, 2024. "Modeling the link between tourism and economic development: evidence from homogeneous panels of countries," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
    3. Theodore Panagiotidis & Maurizio Mussoni & Georgios Voucharas, 2023. "How Important is Tourism for Growth?," Working Paper series 23-13, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    4. Portella-Carbó, Ferran & Pérez-Montiel, Jose & Ozcelebi, Oguzhan, 2023. "Tourism-led economic growth across the business cycle: Evidence from Europe (1995–2021)," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1241-1253.
    5. Dogan, Ergun & Zhang, Xibin, 2023. "A nonparametric panel data model for examining the contribution of tourism to economic growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    6. Isabel P. Albaladejo & Juan Gabriel Brida & María Isabel González‐Martínez & Verónica Segarra, 2023. "A new look to the tourism and economic growth nexus: A clustering and panel causality analysis," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(9), pages 2835-2856, September.
    7. Garrod Brian & Almeida António & Machado Luiz, 2023. "Modelling of nonlinear asymmetric effects of changes in tourism on economic growth in an autonomous small-island economy," European Journal of Tourism, Hospitality and Recreation, Sciendo, vol. 13(2), pages 154-172, December.
    8. Okumus, Fevzi & Kocak, Emrah, 2023. "Tourism and economic output: Do asymmetries matter?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    9. Kumar, Nikeel Nishkar & Patel, Arvind, 2023. "Nonlinear effect of air travel tourism demand on economic growth in Fiji," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    10. Alejandro Alcalá‐Ordóñez & Juan Gabriel Brida & Pablo Juan Cárdenas‐García & Verónica Segarra, 2025. "Tourism as an instrument of economic growth: Empirical exploration at the regional level in Spain," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(1), pages 222-243, February.
    11. Mohammed Saharti & Sajid M. Chaudhry & Nisar Ahmad & Syed Mujahid Hussain, 2024. "Syndicated loans: mapping the trends, sources and intellectual evolution," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1569-1592, May.
    12. Shujaat Naeem Azmi & Tasneem Khan & Wajahat Azmi & Naghma Azhar, 2023. "A panel cointegration analysis of linkages between international trade and tourism: case of India and South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) countries," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 5157-5176, December.
    13. Rapetti, Martin, 2020. "Conflicto distributivo y crecimiento en Argentina [Distributive Conflict and economic growth in Argentina]," MPRA Paper 123149, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Goran Karanovic, 2023. "Exploring the Intrinsic Factors Influencing Return on Assets: A Case Study of the Hotel Industry in Selected EU Countries," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 16(1), pages 54-61, October.
    15. George Ekonomou & George Halkos, 2024. "Expanding the tourism energy growth nexus: an empirical analysis within the Eurozone," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(11), pages 27585-27605, November.
    16. Juan Gabriel Brida & Pablo Juan Cárdenas-García & Verónica Segarra, 2023. "Turismo y Desarrollo Económico: una Exploración Empírica," Working Papers 283, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    17. Francis Baidoo & Lei Pan & Vera Ogeh Lassey Fiador & Elikplimi Komla Agbloyor, 2024. "Importing to feed international tourists: Growth implications for islands across the globe," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(7), pages 1651-1679, November.
    18. Mehic, Adrian, 2024. "Infrastructure Expansion, Tourism, and Electoral Outcomes," Working Paper Series 1490, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
    19. Tamisai Chipunza & Lungile Ntsalaze, 2025. "Multi-dimensional poverty: a bibliometric analysis and content co-occurrence literature review," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, December.
    20. Dandy Badimo & Zhao Yuhuan, 2024. "The relationship between inbound tourism and economic growth: Case of Botswana," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(1), pages 16-34, February.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:q58xc_v1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: OSF (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arabixiv.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.