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Evidence analysis of tourism and geographic location correlation with syphilis incidence

Author

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  • Santos, Joao Pedro Barbosa
  • França, Luis Claudio Teixeira
  • Lima, Brenda L.
  • Reis, Renato B.
  • Spínola, Carolina
  • Martins, Joberto S. B. Prof. Dr.

    (Salvador University - UNIFACS)

Abstract

Tourism is a valuable source of revenue for countries and communities that contributes to their economic growth. Despite these advantages, tourist travel flow can have unexpected effects, such as spreading diseases, like sexually transmitted infections (STIs), that affect public health. However, identifying possible correlations between tourism activities in regions and disease incidence is a relevant research issue that has not yet been extensively explored. According to the World Health Organization, syphilis is a worldwide STI with an estimated impact of 8 million adults between 15 and 49 years old in 2022. This paper investigates and analyses evidence concerning the correlation between tourism activities and geographical location with syphilis incidence. The correlation analysis uses a machine learning algorithm to cluster the governmental syphilis notification database of Bahia state in Brazil between 2010 and 2019. Evidence analysis suggests correlations between tourism activities in coastal tourism municipalities and the incidence of syphilis. Identified evidence of a correlation allows proactive preventive actions and positively impacts the municipality's public health sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Santos, Joao Pedro Barbosa & França, Luis Claudio Teixeira & Lima, Brenda L. & Reis, Renato B. & Spínola, Carolina & Martins, Joberto S. B. Prof. Dr., 2025. "Evidence analysis of tourism and geographic location correlation with syphilis incidence," SocArXiv q58xc_v1, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:q58xc_v1
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/q58xc_v1
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