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The Future of Cereal Prices

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  • Valera, Harold Glenn
  • Balie, Jean
  • Pede, Valerien

Abstract

The current literature on predicting long-term food prices includes three types of projections based on declining, steady, and rising prices. However, these projections have mainly focused on key drivers such as population, income, agricultural productivity, and climate change. In addition, these projections have not previously connected to agricultural support policies. This note aims to fill this gap in the literature by focusing on cereal price outlook and providing comments on further critical drivers of change that merit greater attention in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Valera, Harold Glenn & Balie, Jean & Pede, Valerien, 2021. "The Future of Cereal Prices," SocArXiv mrfu6, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:mrfu6
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/mrfu6
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Harold Glenn A. Valera & Badri Narayanan Gopalakrishnan & Sumathi Chakravarthy & Sindhu Bharathi & Jean Balié & Valerien Olivier Pede, 2023. "The impacts of reforming agricultural policy support on cereal prices: a CGE modeling approach," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 51(1), pages 202-221, June.
    2. Baldos, Uris Lantz & Thomas Hertel, 2014. "Bursting the Bubble: A Long Run Perspective on Crop Commodity Prices," GTAP Working Papers 4574, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
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