IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/osf/socarx/gmyaj.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Aplicação do modelo de séries temporais para previsão do número de passageiros de uma companhia aérea

Author

Listed:
  • da Silva Filho, Flávio Lopes

Abstract

O presente trabalho utiliza um modelo de séries temporais para realizar uma análise preditiva para prever resultados futuros com base em valores passados. Dessa forma, prevendo a quantidade de passageiros, que uma companhia aérea terá, nos próximos 6 meses. As previsões são feitas através de um modelo autorregressivo integrado de médias móveis sazonais, no inglês Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA). Uma vez que a série temporal estudada tem tendência e sazonalidade o que classifica ela como não estacionária.

Suggested Citation

  • da Silva Filho, Flávio Lopes, 2022. "Aplicação do modelo de séries temporais para previsão do número de passageiros de uma companhia aérea," SocArXiv gmyaj, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:gmyaj
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/gmyaj
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://osf.io/download/62d161731bb7a5249a1f39c0/
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.31219/osf.io/gmyaj?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marazzo, Marcial & Scherre, Rafael & Fernandes, Elton, 2010. "Air transport demand and economic growth in Brazil: A time series analysis," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 261-269, March.
    2. Sun, Shaolong & Lu, Hongxu & Tsui, Kwok-Leung & Wang, Shouyang, 2019. "Nonlinear vector auto-regression neural network for forecasting air passenger flow," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 54-62.
    3. Dunn, Sarah & Wilkinson, Sean M., 2016. "Increasing the resilience of air traffic networks using a network graph theory approach," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 39-50.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Sen & Gao, Yi, 2021. "A literature review and citation analyses of air travel demand studies published between 2010 and 2020," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    2. Daniel Ştefan Armeanu & Georgeta Vintilă & Ştefan Cristian Gherghina, 2017. "Empirical Study towards the Drivers of Sustainable Economic Growth in EU-28 Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-22, December.
    3. Rayaprolu, Hema & Levinson, David, 2024. "Co-evolution of public transport access and ridership," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    4. Zhao, Bing & Wu, Hao & Wang, Nuo, 2022. "Changing characteristics of the industrial correlation and economic contribution of air transport in China: An input–output analysis," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    5. Xueguo Xu & Chen Xu & Wenxin Zhang, 2022. "Research on the Destruction Resistance of Giant Urban Rail Transit Network from the Perspective of Vulnerability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-26, June.
    6. Lenaerts, Bert & Allroggen, Florian & Malina, Robert, 2021. "The economic impact of aviation: A review on the role of market access," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    7. Fernandes, Elton & Pacheco, Ricardo Rodrigues & Braga, Márcia Estrada, 2014. "Brazilian airport economics from a geographical perspective," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 71-77.
    8. Maparu, Tuhin Subhra & Mazumder, Tarak Nath, 2017. "Transport infrastructure, economic development and urbanization in India (1990–2011): Is there any causal relationship?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 319-336.
    9. Isabelle Laplace & Chantal Roucolle, 2016. "Deregulation of the ASEAN air Transport Market: Measure of Impacts of Airport Activities on Local Economies," Post-Print hal-01338251, HAL.
    10. Liu, Aijun & Li, Zengxian & Shang, Wen-Long & Ochieng, Washington, 2023. "Performance evaluation model of transportation infrastructure: Perspective of COVID-19," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    11. Yuhao Wang & Jie Liu & Zhouyu Li, 2025. "The Resilience of an Urban Rail Transit Network: An Evaluation Approach Based on a Weighted Coupled Map Lattice Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-16, February.
    12. H. A. Elhamy & A. B. Eltawil, 2025. "Analyzing Airline Fleet Resilience Using the Disruption Funnel Framework," Logistics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, March.
    13. Saidi, Samir & Mani, Venkatesh & Mefteh, Haifa & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Akhtar, Pervaiz, 2020. "Dynamic linkages between transport, logistics, foreign direct Investment, and economic growth: Empirical evidence from developing countries," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 277-293.
    14. Jin, Feng & Li, Yongwu & Sun, Shaolong & Li, Hongtao, 2020. "Forecasting air passenger demand with a new hybrid ensemble approach," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    15. Zhang, Hui & Xu, Min & Ouyang, Min, 2024. "A multi-perspective functionality loss assessment of coupled railway and airline systems under extreme events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    16. Wandelt, Sebastian & Wang, Shuang & Chen, Xinyue & Zheng, Changhong & Chang, Shuming & Sun, Xiaoqian, 2025. "Network structures in air transportation: A comprehensive review of applications and challenges," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    17. Hakim, Md Mahbubul & Merkert, Rico, 2019. "Econometric evidence on the determinants of air transport in South Asian countries," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 120-126.
    18. Samir, Saidi & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Akhtar, Pervaiz, 2018. "The Long-Run Relationship between Transport Energy Consumption and Transport Infrastructure on Economic Growth in MENA Countries," MPRA Paper 85037, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Mar 2018.
    19. Elena Cigu & Daniela Tatiana Agheorghiesei & Anca Florentina Gavriluță (Vatamanu) & Elena Toader, 2018. "Transport Infrastructure Development, Public Performance and Long-Run Economic Growth: A Case Study for the Eu-28 Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-22, December.
    20. Markham, Francis & Young, Martin & Reis, Arianne & Higham, James, 2018. "Does carbon pricing reduce air travel? Evidence from the Australian ‘Clean Energy Future’ policy, July 2012 to June 2014," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 206-214.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:gmyaj. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: OSF (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arabixiv.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.